Conflict and Complexity

Preface.- Part I: The Theoretical Background.- Modeling Terrorist Networks: The Second Decade.- Complex Systems Studies and Terrorism.- The Psychology of Terrorism.- A Framework for Agent-based Social Simulations of Social Identity Dynamics.- DIME/PMESII Models.- Net-Centric Logistics: Complex systems science aims at moving targets.- Part II: Applications and Case Studies.- A Fractal Concept of War.- Disrupting Terrorist Networks, A Dynamic Fitness Landscape Approach.- Comparison of approaches for adversary modeling decision support for counterterrorism.- The Landscape of Maritime Piracy and the Limits of Statistical Prediction.- Identities, Anonymity and Information Warfare.- Part II: Broader Horizons.- The Geography of Ethnic Violence.- Food Security and Political Instability: From Ethanol and Speculation to Riots and Revolutions.- South African Riots: Repercussion of the Global Food Crisis and US drought.- Conflict in Yemen: From Ethnic Fighting to Food Riots.- Complexity and the Limits of Revolution: What Will Happen to the Arab Spring?.