Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis (eBook)

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2012 | 2. Auflage
XVIII, 382 Seiten
Springer New York (Verlag)
978-1-4614-5104-4 (ISBN)

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Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis -  Uffe B. Kjaerulff,  Anders L. Madsen
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Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis, Second Edition, provides a comprehensive guide for practitioners who wish to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. This new edition contains six new sections, in addition to fully-updated examples, tables, figures, and a revised appendix.  Intended primarily for practitioners, this book does not require sophisticated mathematical skills or deep understanding of the underlying theory and methods nor does it discuss alternative technologies for reasoning under uncertainty. The theory and methods presented are illustrated through more than 140 examples, and exercises are included for the reader to check his or her level of understanding. The techniques and methods presented for knowledge elicitation, model construction and verification, modeling techniques and tricks, learning models from data, and analyses of models have all been developed and refined on the basis of numerous courses that the authors have held for practitioners worldwide.



Uffe B. Kjærulff holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Associate Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University. Anders L. Madsen of HUGIN EXPERT A/S holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Adjunct Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University.


Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis, Second Edition, provides a comprehensive guide for practitioners who wish to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. This new edition contains six new sections, in addition to fully-updated examples, tables, figures, and a revised appendix. Intended primarily for practitioners, this book does not require sophisticated mathematical skills or deep understanding of the underlying theory and methods nor does it discuss alternative technologies for reasoning under uncertainty. The theory and methods presented are illustrated through more than 140 examples, and exercises are included for the reader to check his or her level of understanding. The techniques and methods presented for knowledge elicitation, model construction and verification, modeling techniques and tricks, learning models from data, and analyses of models have all been developed and refined on the basis of numerous courses that the authors have held for practitioners worldwide.

Uffe B. Kjærulff holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Associate Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University. Anders L. Madsen of HUGIN EXPERT A/S holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Adjunct Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University.

Introduction.- Networks.- Probabilities.- Probabilistic Networks.- Solving Probabilistic Networks.- Eliciting the Model.- Modeling Techniques.- Data-Driven Modeling.- Conflict Analysis.- Sensitivity Analysis.- Value of Information Analysis.- Quick Reference to Model Construction.- List of Examples.- List of Figures.- List of Tables.- List of Symbols.- References.- Index.

Erscheint lt. Verlag 30.11.2012
Reihe/Serie Information Science and Statistics
Zusatzinfo XVIII, 382 p.
Verlagsort New York
Sprache englisch
Themenwelt Informatik Datenbanken Data Warehouse / Data Mining
Informatik Theorie / Studium Künstliche Intelligenz / Robotik
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Angewandte Mathematik
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Computerprogramme / Computeralgebra
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Statistik
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Wahrscheinlichkeit / Kombinatorik
Technik
Wirtschaft Betriebswirtschaft / Management Planung / Organisation
Schlagworte Bayesian networks • Graphical Models • Influence Diagrams • model analysis • Model Construction • Probabilistic Networks
ISBN-10 1-4614-5104-3 / 1461451043
ISBN-13 978-1-4614-5104-4 / 9781461451044
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