Estimating Risk

Andy Garlick is Managing Director of the independent consultancy, The Risk Agenda (www.riskagenda.com). Andy has twenty five years' experience in risk. This started with work on nuclear risk assessment in the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority. Since then he has held senior positions involving the development of a number of risk consulting businesses. He has worked with clients in the nuclear, transport, oil and gas, chemical and government sectors. His mission during this time has been to make risk methods more accessible and more business-focused. He is also a Fellow of the Institute of Risk Management and is currently acting as secretary of their Special Interest group on PFI/PPP.

Contents: Preface. Part One Risk Management Overview: Risk in context; A brief introduction to risk management; Quantitative risk estimates; Using risk models. Part Two Risk Models: Reliability and other binary models; Cost and other additive models; Time and programme; General models. Part Three Decisions and Risk: Public sector decisions; Private sector decisions; Safety decisions. Part Four Techniques: Probability; Monte Carlo; Other methods; Decision analysis. Index.