Catalogue of Risks (eBook)

Dr. Proske studied civil engineering in Dresden, Germany and London, U.K. He worked in Germany, South Africa and Indonesia, before going into scientific research at the Technical University in Dresden, Germany. In 2003 he received an ESREL award. He continued his academic career in 2005 at the TU Delft in the Netherlands. Since 2006 he has served at the University of Life Sciences, Institute for Mountain Risk Engineering in Vienna, Austria.For several years Dr. Proske has been co-organizer of the Dresden Bridge Construction Conference, which is the biggest conference concerning this topic in German speaking countries. In 2005 the event won the Dresden Conference Award. He is also the founder of the International Probabilistic Symposium/Workshop, which was started in Dresden in 2003/2004 and continued in Vienna in 2005, in Berlin in 2006 and in Ghent in 2007.He has experience in teaching not only Structural Concrete and Masonry and Hazard and Risk Assessment, but also Integral Risk Management in Vienna.

Preface 5
Expression of Thanks 7
Contents 13
1 Indetermination and Risk 17
1.1 Introduction 17
1.2 Indetermination 18
1.3 Terms Related to Non-Evaluated Indetermination 40
1.4 Terms Related to Negative Evaluated Indetermination 61
2 Risks and Disasters 89
2.1 Introduction 89
2.2 Classes of Risks and Disasters 89
2.3 Natural Risks 91
2.4 Technical Risks 152
2.5 Health Risks 215
2.6 Social Risks 235
3 Objective Risk Measures 283
3.1 Introduction 283
3.2 Rough Risk Measures 283
3.3 Specialised Risk Measures 289
3.4 Mortalities 293
3.5 Life Expectancy 301
3.6 Fatal Accident rates 307
3.7 Family of F-N Diagrams 310
3.8 Lost Life-Years 330
4 Subjective Risk Judgement 345
4.1 Introduction 345
4.2 Subjective Risk Judgement and Objective Risk Measures 345
4.3 Levels of Subjective Risk Judgement 348
4.4 Time-Independent Individual Subjective Risk Judgement 349
4.5 Time-Dependent Individual Subjective Judgement 369
4.6 Social Subjective Risk Judgement 374
4.7 Communication of Risk 382
4.8 Conclusion 386
5 Quality of Life – the Ultimate Risk Measure 395
5.1 Introduction 395
5.2 Term 395
5.3 Requirements for Quality-of-Life Measures 402
5.4 Medical Quality-of-Life Measures 403
5.5 Social and Socio-Economical Quality-of-Life Measures 419
5.6 Economical Quality -of-Life Measures 432
5.7 Environmental Measures and Quality of Life 440
5.8 Engineering Quality-of-Life Measures 449
5.9 Quality of Life in Religions 466
5.10 Quality of Life in Politics 466
5.11 Limitation of the Concept 467
6 Law and Risk 477
6.1 Introduction 477
6.2 Examples 486
6.3 Codes 489
7 Example – Ship Impacts Against Bridges 495
7.1 Introduction 495
7.2 Problem 496
7.3 Investigated Bridges 500
7.4 Investigation 504
7.5 Results 510
Acknowledgement 516
Index 519