Coping with the Complexity of Economics

Marisa Faggini, Thomas Lux (Herausgeber)

Buch | Hardcover
170 Seiten
2008
Springer Verlag
978-88-470-1082-6 (ISBN)

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Throughout the history of economics, a variety of analytical tools have been borrowed from the so-called exact sciences. As Schoe?er (1955) puts it: “They have taken their mathematics and their ded- tive techniques from physics, their statistics from genetics and agr- omy, their systems of classi?cation from taxonomy and chemistry, their model-construction techniques from astronomy and mechanics, and their methods of analysis of the consequences of actions from en- neering”. The possibility of similarities of structure in mathematical models of economic and physical systems has been an important f- tor in the development of neoclassical theory. To treat the state of an economy as an equilibrium, analogous to the equilibrium of a mech- ical system has been a key concept in economics ever since it became a mathematically formalized science. Adopting a Newtonian paradigm neoclassical economics often is based on three fundamental concepts. Firstly, the representative agent who is a scale model of the whole society with extraordinary capacities, particularly concerning her - pability of information processing and computation. Of course, this is a problematic reduction as agents are both heterogeneous and bou- edly rational and limited in their cognitive capabilities. Secondly, it often con?ned itself to study systems in a state of equilibrium. But this concept is not adequate to describe and to support phenomena in perpetual motion.

Evolution of Economic Systems.- Evolution of Trust in Economic Systems.- Keynes, Hayek and Complexity.- A look at the relationship between industrial dynamics and aggregate fluctuations.- Quantum Physics and Financial Markets.- Quantum-like Viewpoint on the Complexity and Randomness of the Financial Market.- Classical and Quantum-Like Randomness and the Financial Market.- New Empirical Approaches to Complex Economic Dynamics.- Examination of the Cost-of-Carry Formula for Futures Contracts on WIG20. Wavelet and Nonlinear Cointegration Analysis.- A Complex Approach to Estimate Shadow Economy: The Structural Equation Modelling.- Will house prices rise in 2007? A comparative assessment of house prices in London and Dublin.- Models of Risk Management and Decision Support.- Risk Measuremant and Fair Valuation Assessment in the Life Insurance Field.- Analysis of Qualitative and Quantitative Rankings in Multicriteria Decision Making.

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