Statistics of Extremes - Jan Beirlant, Yuri Goegebeur, Johan Segers, Jozef L. Teugels

Statistics of Extremes

Theory and Applications
Buch | Hardcover
512 Seiten
2004
John Wiley & Sons Inc (Verlag)
978-0-471-97647-9 (ISBN)
137,98 inkl. MwSt
States that research in the statistical analysis of extreme values has flourished over the years: probability models, inference and data analysis techniques have been introduced; and fresh application areas have been explored.
Research in the statistical analysis of extreme values has flourished over the past decade: new probability models, inference and data analysis techniques have been introduced; and new application areas have been explored. Statistics of Extremes comprehensively covers a wide range of models and application areas, including risk and insurance: a major area of interest and relevance to extreme value theory. Case studies are introduced providing a good balance of theory and application of each model discussed, incorporating many illustrated examples and plots of data. The last part of the book covers some interesting advanced topics, including time series, regression, multivariate and Bayesian modelling of extremes, the use of which has huge potential.

Jan Beirlant is the author of Statistics of Extremes: Theory and Applications, published by Wiley. Yuri Goegebeur is the author of Statistics of Extremes: Theory and Applications, published by Wiley. Johan Segers is the author of Statistics of Extremes: Theory and Applications, published by Wiley. Jozef L. Teugels is the author of Statistics of Extremes: Theory and Applications, published by Wiley.

Preface.

1 WHY EXTREME VALUE THEORY?

1.1 A Simple Extreme Value Problem.

1.2 Graphical Tools for Data Analysis.

1.3 Domains of Applications.

1.4 Conclusion.

2 THE PROBABILISTIC SIDE OF EXTREME VALUE THEORY.

2.1 The Possible Limits.

2.2 An Example.

2.3 The Fr'echet-Pareto Case: ³ > 0.

2.4 The (Extremal) Weibull Case: ³ 0.

2.5 The Gumbel Case: ³ = 0.

2.6 Alternative Conditions for (C³ ).

2.7 Further on the Historical Approach.

2.8 Summary.

2.9 Background Information.

3 AWAY FROM THE MAXIMUM.

3.1 Introduction.

3.2 Order Statistics Close to the Maximum.

3.3 Second-order Theory.

3.4 Mathematical Derivations.

4 TAIL ESTIMATION UNDER PARETO-TYPE MODELS.

4.1 A Naive Approach.

4.2 The Hill Estimator.

4.3 Other Regression Estimators.

4.4 A Representation for Log-spacings and Asymptotic Results.

4.5 Reducing the Bias.

4.6 Extreme Quantiles and Small Exceedance Probabilities.

4.7 Adaptive Selection of the Tail Sample Fraction.

5 TAIL ESTIMATION FOR ALL DOMAINS OF ATTRACTION.

5.1 The Method of Block Maxima.

5.2 Quantile View--Methods Based on (C³).

5.3 Tail Probability View--Peaks-Over-Threshold Method.

5.4 Estimators Based on an Exponential Regression Model.

5.5 Extreme Tail Probability, Large Quantile and Endpoint Estimation Using Threshold Methods.

5.6 Asymptotic Results Under (C³ )-(C*³ ).

5.7 Reducing the Bias.

5.8 Adaptive Selection of the Tail Sample Fraction.

5.9 Appendices.

6 CASE STUDIES.

6.1 The Condroz Data.

6.2 The Secura Belgian Re Data.

6.3 Earthquake Data.

7 REGRESSION ANALYSIS.

7.1 Introduction.

7.2 The Method of Block Maxima.

7.3 The Quantile View--Methods Based on Exponential Regression Models.

7.4 The Tail Probability View--Peaks Over Threshold (POT) Method.

7.5 Non-parametric Estimation.

7.6 Case Study.

8 MULTIVARIATE EXTREME VALUE THEORY.

8.1 Introduction.

8.2 Multivariate Extreme Value Distributions.

8.3 The Domain of Attraction.

8.4 Additional Topics.

8.5 Summary.

8.6 Appendix.

9 STATISTICS OF MULTIVARIATE EXTREMES.

9.1 Introduction.

9.2 Parametric Models.

9.3 Component-wise Maxima.

9.4 Excesses over a Threshold.

9.5 Asymptotic Independence.

9.6 Additional Topics.

9.7 Summary.

10 EXTREMES OF STATIONARY TIME SERIES.

10.1 Introduction.

10.2 The Sample Maximum.

10.3 Point-Process Models.

10.4 Markov-Chain Models.

10.5 Multivariate Stationary Processes.

10.6 Additional Topics.

11 BAYESIAN METHODOLOGY IN EXTREME VALUE STATISTICS.

11.1 Introduction.

11.2 The Bayes Approach.

11.3 Prior Elicitation.

11.4 Bayesian Computation.

11.5 Univariate Inference.

11.6 An Environmental Application.

Bibliography.

Author Index.

Subject Index.

Erscheint lt. Verlag 6.10.2004
Reihe/Serie Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics
Co-Autor Daniel De Waal
Verlagsort New York
Sprache englisch
Maße 160 x 239 mm
Gewicht 964 g
Themenwelt Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Statistik
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Wahrscheinlichkeit / Kombinatorik
ISBN-10 0-471-97647-4 / 0471976474
ISBN-13 978-0-471-97647-9 / 9780471976479
Zustand Neuware
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