The Decision to Attack

Investigates how states decide to employ cyber in military and intelligence operations against other states and how rational those decisions are. Aaron Franklin Brantly contextualizes cyber decision-making processes into a systematic expected utility-rational choice approach to provide a mathematical understanding of the use of cyber weapons.

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The debate over cyber technology has resulted in new considerations for national security operations. States find themselves in an increasingly interconnected world with a diverse threat spectrum and little understanding of how decisions are made within this amorphous domain.

With The Decision to Attack, Aaron Franklin Brantly investigates how states decide to employ cyber in military and intelligence operations against other states and how rational those decisions are. In his examination, Brantly contextualizes broader cyber decision-making processes into a systematic expected utility–rational choice approach to provide a mathematical understanding of the use of cyber weapons at the state level.

Topics Discussed:

The Key Concepts of Cyber

The Motivation and Utility for Covert Action

Digital Power

Anonymity and Attribution in Cyberspace

Cyber and Conventional Operations: The Dynamics of Conflict

Defining the Role of Intelligence in Cyberspace

How actors decide to use cyber—a rational choice approach

Cognitive Processes and Decision-Making in Cyberspace

Finding meaning in the expected utility of international cyber conflict