Risk Analysis

Section 1 Estimation of risks: Probabilistic risk assessment: the tool for uncertainty reduction in geotechnical engineering; Volcanic risk zoning in the island of Ischia (Italy); Real options in mine project budgeting - Polish mining industry example; Stochastic analysis as a risk-assessment technique in mineral projects evaluation; Risk assessment for hazardous waste disposal in abandoned mines; Dam-break hazard assessment with geomorphic flow computation, using WOLF 2D hydrodynamic software; Risk assessment of Ere-li vertical wall breakwater in Turkey; PARASODE: a programme for the probabilistic design and assessment of sea defences; Hydrological risk phenomena caused by rainfalls in the north-western part of Romania; Assessment of the impact of sediment transport on roads in a Mediterranean environment; Testing trends in annual maximum discharge series in Israel; Fragility curves, damage matrices, and wind induced loss estimation; Navigational risk in methods of assessing the safety of the vessel's mooring manoeuvre; Malfunctions of railway traffic control systems -failure rate analysis; Navigation risk assessment for vessels manoeuvring in various conditions; Second order effects design of reinforced concrete framed structures according to EC2-reliability analysis; The development of a new holistic risk assessment model for the inclusion of public perceptual values in the decision-making process; Risk assessment using a generalized Pareto-based bivariate model; Estimating reliability in a strength-stress interference model: classical and bayesian perspectives; Role of computer tools in risk management - applications in forestry; Structures and organisation of an information tool dedicated to simulation and management of environmental risks; Dependence relationships modelling in financial appraisal under uncertainty. Section 2 Hazard prevention, management and control: Natural disaster reduction in Europe: a Don Quixotic project in the face of a changing world?; A decisional model for dynamic allocation of resources in natural disasters management; Model based risk management of security critical systems; Evolution of the erosive process after a watershed fire: An example: Prinos torrent, Thassos Island, Greece; Scheduling hazardous material shipments; Integrated security systems for hazard prevention, management and control in the Italian high speed train line; Structural issues in seismic risk assessment of existing oil storage tanks; Safety of construction in intensive use of space. Section 3 Emergency response: Covao do Meio dam. Automatic acquisition and remote transfer of monitoring data; Testing a European emergency management methodology in a simulated flood event; Risk of oil spill pollution off the Portuguese coast; Emergency procedures management in the chemical industry. (part contents)