Household Vulnerability and Conditional Cash Transfers (eBook)
X, 96 Seiten
Springer Singapore (Verlag)
978-981-10-4103-7 (ISBN)
This book empirically analyzes the vulnerability of poor households in rural areas of Mexico and the effects of the conditional cash transfer (CCT) program called PROGRESA-Oportunidades by adopting the two most recent sets of rural household panel data for 2003−2007. The period covered by this book coincides with the unexpected reversal of the poverty trend observed in 2006 to the present which raised a question of vulnerability to poverty of Mexican households that had emerged from poverty in the early 2000s under a stable economic condition. The author applies different methodologies in defining vulnerable households in each chapter, enabling discussion of the multiple dimensions of vulnerability from varying perspectives, to identify the determinants of rural household vulnerability to poverty and the CCT effects. Empirical studies reported in this book confirmed a certain role played by PROGRESA-Oportunidades in mitigating vulnerability; however, the effect was rather partial and could not fully achieve poverty reduction during the surveyed period. By combining the existent discussions and empirical results of the CCT impacts, the author concludes that a possible limitation of PROGRESA-Oportunidades may be the excessive focus on the labor supply side, thus complementary policies must enhance the demand side, especially in creating decent employment opportunities for youth.
Naoko Uchiyama is a JSPS research fellow at Kobe University. She earned her Ph.D. from Kobe University in 2014.
This book empirically analyzes the vulnerability of poor households in rural areas of Mexico and the effects of the conditional cash transfer (CCT) program called PROGRESA-Oportunidades by adopting the two most recent sets of rural household panel data for 2003-2007. The period covered by this book coincides with the unexpected reversal of the poverty trend observed in 2006 to the present which raised a question of vulnerability to poverty of Mexican households that had emerged from poverty in the early 2000s under a stable economic condition. The author applies different methodologies in defining vulnerable households in each chapter, enabling discussion of the multiple dimensions of vulnerability from varying perspectives, to identify the determinants of rural household vulnerability to poverty and the CCT effects. Empirical studies reported in this book confirmed a certain role played by PROGRESA-Oportunidades in mitigating vulnerability; however, the effect was rather partial and could not fully achieve poverty reduction during the surveyed period. By combining the existent discussions and empirical results of the CCT impacts, the author concludes that a possible limitation of PROGRESA-Oportunidades may be the excessive focus on the labor supply side, thus complementary policies must enhance the demand side, especially in creating decent employment opportunities for youth.
Naoko Uchiyama is a senior assistant professor at Tokyo University of Foreign Studies. She earned her Ph.D. from Kobe University in 2014.
Chapter 1
Outlook of the Mexican Economy, Poverty, and Vulnerability
1.1 Introduction
1.2 General Concepts of Poverty and Vulnerability
1.3. Economic and Poverty Outlook of Mexico
1.3.1. Latin American Overview
1.3.2. Economic and Poverty Outlook of Mexico
1.3.3 Poverty in Mexico
1.4 Mexican CCT program: PROGRESA-Oportunidades
1.5 Organization of the Book
References
Chapter 2
Determinants of the Recent Poverty Increase and Household Vulnerability in Rural Mexico
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Observations of Rural Poverty and Vulnerability in the Poorest Regions from the Sample Survey
2.2.1 Data
2.2.2 Observations of Rural Poverty
2.2.3 Vulnerability of Rural Households
2.3 Empirical Analysis
2.3.1 Model
2.3.2 Regression analysis and results
2.3.2.2 Results: Impoverished Household Model
2.3.2.2 Improved Household Model
2.3.2.3 Summary: Determinants of Household Vulnerability to Poverty
2.3.3 De-agriculturalization and Vulnerability of Rural Households
2.4 Conclusion
Appendix 2.A
Appendix 2.B
Appendix 2.C
References
Chapter 3
Impacts of CCT and Rising Food Prices on Rural Household Consumption
3.1 Introduction
3.2 The ENCEL Data
3.3 Literature Review: Impacts of CCT on Poverty in Mexico
3.4 Impacts of Food Price Increases on Rural Poverty and the Effects of CCT
3.4.1 Food Price Increases: 2003−2007
3.4.1.1 General Trend
3.4.2 Impacts of Food Price Increases on Rural Poverty
3.4.3 Mitigating Effects of the CCT
3.5 Empirical Analysis
3.5.1 Methods
3.5.2 Results
3.6 Concluding Remarks
Appendix
References
Chapter 4
Household Vulnerability and the CCT Within the Risk-Sharing Framework
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Panel data and Poverty Status of Treatment and Control Groups
4.2.1 Data
4.2.2 Poverty Status of Treatment and Control Groups
4.3 Risk-Sharing Model
4.3.1 General Model
4.3.2 Empirical Model
4.4 Empirical Analyses and Results
4.4.1 Summary Statistics
4.4.2 Basic Model
4.4.3. Model with CCT Effects
4.5 Concluding Remarks
Appendix 4.A
Appendix 4.B
Appendix 4.C
Appendix 4.D
Appendix 4.E
Appendix 4.F
References
Erscheint lt. Verlag | 8.4.2017 |
---|---|
Reihe/Serie | Kobe University Social Science Research Series |
Kobe University Social Science Research Series | |
SpringerBriefs in Economics | SpringerBriefs in Economics |
Zusatzinfo | X, 96 p. 13 illus., 4 illus. in color. |
Verlagsort | Singapore |
Sprache | englisch |
Themenwelt | Wirtschaft ► Allgemeines / Lexika |
Wirtschaft ► Volkswirtschaftslehre ► Ökonometrie | |
Schlagworte | CCT external evaluation • Conditional Cash Transfers (CCT) • Consumption Smoothing • ENCEL panel data • Household consumption • household vulnerability to poverty • Poverty and vulnerability in Latin America • Poverty in Mexico • PROGRESA • PROGRESA-Oportunidades • Vulnerability in Mexico |
ISBN-10 | 981-10-4103-2 / 9811041032 |
ISBN-13 | 978-981-10-4103-7 / 9789811041037 |
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