Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice

Lesley Walls is a Professor in the Department of Management Science at the University of Strathclyde, a Chartered Statistician and a Fellow of the UK Safety and Reliability Society. Her research interests include reliability modelling and risk analysis. Her work spans statistical methodology development and industry-facing applications. Lesley has been an Associate Editor of IEEE Transactions on Reliability and is a project leader for standards developed by the International Electrotechnical Committee on Dependability (IEC TC56). Matthew Revie is a Senior Knowledge Exchange Fellow at the University of Strathclyde. His research interests include reliability, availability and maintainability modelling, expert judgement and decision analysis. He has worked on over 25 applied research projects with more than 15 different organisations and has co-founded two industry facing research units. Matthew is on the editorial board of the IMechE Journal of Risk and Reliability, on the Board of Directors for the European Safety and Reliability Data Association, and a Fellow of the Operational Research Society. Tim Bedford is Professor of Management Science and Associate Deputy Principal (Knowledge Exchange) at the University of Strathclyde. His research aims at combining fundamental theoretical advances - particularly around probability and consequence modelling - with applications to real-life problems. He holds an Honorary Doctorate in recognition of his work in risk analysis, from the Faculte Polytechnique de Mons, and has recently been elected a Fellow of the Royal Society of Edinburgh, Scotland's National Academy. Tim is a Fellow of the UK Safety and Reliability Society, a Fellow of the Institute for Mathematics and its Applications, and a member of the Editorial Board of Reliability Engineering and System Safety.

1. Accelerated test design and analysis Development of process for adaptive lifetime estimation of mechanical assemblies using accelerated testing methods J.-P. Hietala, P. Ojala, P. Multanen, J. Miettinen & P. Saarenrinne Optimal design for accelerated degradation tests with stochastic model uncertainty L. Liu, X.-Y. Li, T.-M. Jiang & Jian-Guo Zhang Optimization of the dental implant testing based on FEM simulation of fatigue and accelerated life A. Muller, M. Hinz & S. Bracke Multivariable accelerated testing of seep through of humidity due to vibration in electric connector P. Ojala, J. Pippola, J.-P. Hietala, J. Miettinen, L. Frisk, P. Julkunen & E.-L. Varpe Methodology of the accelerated life test of a temperature sensor Z. Vintr & D. Valis The method of analyzing accelerated degradation data based on acceleration factor constant principle Hao-WeiWang, K.N. Teng & B.L. Gai Combining nonparametric predictive inference and power-Weibull model for accelerated life testing Y. Yin, F.P.A. Coolen &T. Coolen-Maturi Research on accelerated degradation test for GaAs solar cells in LEO environment Yuanxin Zhang, X. Ma, HanWang & H. Jiang 2. Accident and incident investigation and modelling 2.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Different accident levels between offshore and onshore helicopter operations-a comparison of socio-technical systems R.J. Bye, S.O. Johnsen & G. Lillehammer 2.2 Chemical process industry CFD dispersion simulations of liquid argon releases in a deep underground large scale cryogenic installation E.C. Marcoulaki, A.G. Venetsanos & I.A. Papazoglou Investigation of crane operation safety by analysing main accident causes M.F. Milazzo, G. Ancione, V. Spasojevic Brkic & D. Valis Accounting for wind direction and speed fluctuations on the prediction of flammable cloud dispersion A.M. Schleder & M.R. Martins Risk based workload and staffing level analysis L. Kotek, Z. Tuma, P. Blecha & L. Mukhametzianova 2.3 Critical infrastructure Cascading effects during incidents: CascEff A. Lonnermark & D. Lange 2.4 Maritime transportation Marine navigation accidents and influencing conditions: An exploratory statistical analysis using AIS data and accident databases A. Gilberg, E. Kleiven & R.J. Bye The use of 'big data' in constructing loss-based performance indicators in the maritime industry T. Kongsvik, R.J. Bye, P.G. Almklov & E. Kleiven A discussion of risk influencing factors for maritime accidents based on investigation reports M. Nilsen, P.G. Almklov, S. Haugen & R.J. Bye TRACEr-MAR-applying TRACEr in a maritime context J.-U. Schroder-Hinrichs, A. Graziano, G. Praetorius &A. Kataria Some reflections on pre- and post-accident analysis for water transport: A case study of the Eastern Star accident Y.Wang, E. Zio, S. Fu, D. Zhang & X.P. Yan 2.5 Nuclear industry Use of level 2 PSA to support NPP operators training on severe accident P. Groudev, P. Petrova, E. Kichev & K. Mancheva Accident progression and radiological analyses of the interfacing system loss of coolant accident for a typical pressurized water reactor S.Y. Park & K.I. Ahn Accident measures feasibility study based on context evaluation of human performance in design extension conditions G. Petkov & I. Petkov 2.6 Oil and gas industry Improving accident investigation by evaluating the pre-accident risk assessment and management from a fundamental risk perspective K. Bjornsen &T. Aven Accident risk assessment of refineries depending on configuration and geographic location P. Burgherr, M. Spada, A. Kalinina, P. Eckle &Y. Pannatier Analysis of dynamic positioning system accidents and incidents with emphasis on root causes and barrier failures Y. Dong, B. Rokseth, J.E. Vinnem & I.B. Utne Explaining the explosion onboard FPSO Cidade de Sao Mateus from regulatory point of view C. Morais, A. Garcia, B. Silva, N. Ferreira &T. Pires CFD simulation of a time varying release of LPG in geometrical complex environment M. Pontiggia, M. Gerbec, J. Suznik, M. Sbaouni & R. Lelong Assessing the consequences of accidental releases from sour oil and gas facilities C.G. Robinson &A.R. Halford Perspective and criticalities of CFD modelling for the analysis of oil and gas offshore accident scenarios A.C. Uggenti, A. Carpignano, L. Savoldi, R. Zanino & F. Ganci 2.7 Road transportation Variables influencing the severity of motorcycle and moped traffic accidents in Spain S. Garcia-Herrero, M.A. Mariscal, R. Beltran & J.M. Guiterrez Preliminary analysis of accident data of one of the BRT lines in Mexico City V. Avalos-Bravo, D. Padilla-Perez & J.R. Santos-Reyes 2.8 Other industries Analyses of social accidents and culture: A discussion of the geopolitical migration S. Avila Filho, M.N.E. Fonseca & E.S. Bittencourt Assessment of an accident using FMEA to a tailings dam, a mining event in Brazil M.N.E. Fonseca & S. Avila Filho Learning from accidents: Investigating the genesis of human errors in multi-attribute settings to improve the organisation of design R. Moura, M. Beer, E. Patelli, J. Lewis & F. Knoll 3. Analysis of natural hazards 3.1 Civil engineering/built environment Earthquake preparation and risk perception: The case of high school students in Mexico City T. Gouzeva, G. Santos-Reyes & J.R. Santos-Reyes Quantification of evolving regional vulnerability to hurricanes A. Reilly, S. Guikema, J. Garzon Hervas & C. Ferreira Seismic risk analysis of the Italian built environment at territorial scale A. Rasulo, M.A. Fortuna, G. Modoni & B. Borzi 3.2 Other industries Propagating spatial and thematic uncertainties in mountain natural hazard assessment process G. Dupouy, J.M. Tacnet, F. Bourrier, F. Berger, N. Crimier, K. Mekhnacha, M. Memier & E. Moulet-Vargas How risk perception of natural hazards influences the content of risk and vulnerability analyses and the implementation of risk reduction measures M. Leonhardsen, K.H. Olsen & O.E. Olsen Modeling information quality and traceability in risk management and decision processes: Application to mountain natural hazards L. Vidaud-Barral, J.M. Tacnet & F. Pinet 4. Bayesian models and statistical methods Generalized method of moments for an extended gamma process Z. Al Masry, S. Mercier & G. Verdier Bayesian model calibration using subset simulation Z.T. Gong, F.A. DiazDelaO & M. Beer Small data and conflicting information U. Sahlin Sensitivity analysis for Bayesian networks with interval probabilities S. Tolo, E. Patelli & M. Beer New methods for the availability prediction with confidence level P. Zeiler, F. Muller & B. Bertsche 4.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Application of Bayesian network in safety analysis on civil aircraft systems HongliWang, D.M. Zhong &T.D. Zhao An attempt to determine the lifetime distribution of a device for random function forms of expected value and variance of the Gaussian distribution M. Zieja, M. Jasztal, S. Stepie'n & M.Wazny 4.2 Civil engineering/built environment Approaches to Bayesian network structure elicitation K. Zwirglmaier & D. Straub 4.3 Information technology and telecommunication A Bayesian network for diagnosis of networked mobile robots I. Sassi, A. Gouin & J.M. Thiriet 4.4 Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Risk analysis of supply: Comparative performance and short-term prediction L.Walls, J. Quigley, M. Parsa & E. Comrie 4.5 Maritime transportation Quantifying error in deterministic predictions based on phase-resolved linear wave models F. Fucile, G. Bulian & C. Lugni Regression models for the effect of environmental conditions on the efficiency of ship machinery systems E. Vanem, A. Brandsaeter & O. Gramstad 4.6 Mechanical systems and engineering Methodological framework for estimation of failure rates for various high-voltage battery systems T. Lehmann, O. Ozgen & J. Keller Reliability evaluation ofWiener degradation system based on Bayesian network S. Miao, J. Yao, Y. Zhao, XiaohongWang, XiaohuiWang & X. Li 4.7 Nuclear industry The use of structured expert judgment methods to aid in parameter estimations for data sparse problems F. Brandford-Adams &A.B. El-Shanawany 4.8 Oil and gas industry Reliability analysis and surrogate modelling of biodiesel filters P.O. Hristov, F.A. DiazDelaO, K.J. Kubiak & U. Farooq Asset integrity case development for normally unattended offshore installations: Bayesian network modelling S. Loughney, J.Wang, D. Lau & D. Minty Using Bayesian networks to quantify the reliability of a subsea system in the early design Juntao Zhang, Yiliu Liu, M.A. Lundteigen & L. Bouillaut 4.9 Power and energy systems A Bayesian hierarchical modelling for hydropower risk assessment A. Kalinina, M. Spada, P. Burgherr, S. Marelli & B. Sudret Physics-driven Bayesian model for current-voltage characteristics of solar cells Y. Kong, Z.Ye & Z. Li Demand forecasting over complex geographical networks: The case of Northern Gas Networks K.J.Wilson, S.E. Heaps & M. Farrow 4.10 Road transportation Development of tools for road infrastructure safety management for the provinces (voivodeships) in Poland J.Wachnicka,W. Kustra, K. Jamroz & M. Budzy'nski 5. Crisis and emergency management Planning and conducting crisis management exercises-what works and what does not? T. Grunnan & H. Fridheim How well do capability assessments reflect actual capability? An experimental study of capability assessments with multi-actor dependencies M. Hanson, S. Severinsen & H. Lindbom Toward an empirical clarification of societal safety and societal security-preliminary findings from interviews with leaders and key stakeholders in Norway S. Hoyland & K.A. Pettersen Security culture-a sufficient explanation for a terrorist attack? S.H. Jore Risk management and social innovation: The example of the outage organization in a high risk industry O. Guillaume & N. Lot Challenges of measuring quality in emergency response J.E. Lynette A method for analysing security threats in operational risk analysis and management S. Malerud & H. Fridheim The (European) Union civil protection mechanism: A reliable crisis governance tool? C. Morsut & B.I. Kruke Scenario approaches as a means of handling emerging risks in society E. Okstad 5.1 Critical infrastructure Moving through crisis and resilience: An activity-centred CONOPs of CI organisations M. Cooke & E. Murphy Take it to the limits! Exploring the hidden, dynamic and emergent vulnerabilities of society T.O. Grotan & S. Antonsen Risk-based investment allocation for infrastructure networks S. Kunttu, T. Valisalo & J. Pirttimaki Barriers that hamper the efficiency of Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) in critical infrastructure protection P. Marana, L. Labaka & J.M. Sarriegi Toward resilient organization: Strengthening performance management in an era of turbulent change R. Steen &T. Tangenes Emergency management involving critical infrastructure disruptions: Operationalizing the deployment of resilience capabilities P. Trucco, B. Petrenj, I. Kozine & H.B. Andersen Possibilities of critical infrastructure protection against terrorism M. Vaskova, J. Barta & J. Johanidesova An integrated framework for business continuity management of critical infrastructures J. Xing & E. Zio 5.2 Maritime transportation Development of a new evacuation simulation tool targeting real-time participation G. Montecchiari, G. Bulian & P. Gallina 6. Decision making under uncertainty and expressing uncertainty 6.1 Civil engineering/built environment Towards a risk management prototype for small and medium enterprises in the construction sector A.E. Tamparopoulos & C. Oduoza 6.2 Critical infrastructure Optimum post-disruption restoration for enhanced infrastructure network resilience: A fuzzy programming approach Y.-P. Fang & G. Sansavini Recovery of urban socio-technical systems after disaster: Reactive decision-making based planning under uncertainties of damage evaluation V. Lubashevskiy, T. Kanno & K. Furuta 6.3 Information technology and telecommunication Application and simulations of uncertainty multilevel models to ensure the ITS services M. Stawowy & M. Siergiejczyk 6.4 Maritime transportation Risk analysis of falsified automatic identification system for the improvement of maritime traffic safety C. Iphar, A. Napoli, C. Ray, E. Alincourt & D. Brosset 6.5 Nuclear industry A methodological framework to analyse coping based on the testimony of the Director of the Fukushima Dai Ichi nuclear power plant A. Afrouss, A. Portelli & F. Guarnieri Uncertainty and conservatism in safety cases A. Bounds 6.6 Oil and gas industry Uncertainty analysis incorporated to lifecycle cost analysis in the oil and gas industry V. Borges How to manage uncertainty when considering new or changed regulatory HSE requirements L.I.K. Soerskaar & E.B. Abrahamsen Risk assessments as input to decision making during design of oil and gas installations V.L. Tuft, O.M.Wiggen, A.O. Torgauten, T.M. van Roosmalen, T. Holde, M. Sandoy &T. Aven 6.7 Power and energy systems The 'discrete forecast error scenarios' method for grid reliability assessment in short-term planning under renewable generation and cross-border flows G. Dogan, P.-E. Labeau, J.-C. Maun, J. Sprooten, M. Galvez & K. Sleurs Planning cable installation activities for offshore wind farms including risk of supply delays G. Leontaris, O. Morales-Napoles &A.R.M.Wolfert Modelling of uncertainty for continuity quality of power supply M. Siergiejczyk & M. Stawowy 6.8 Rail transportation How (not) to work with small probabilities: Evaluating the individual risk of railway transport R. Andrasik, M. Bil & R. Slovak 7. Dynamic reliability and probabilistic safety/risk analysis 7.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Reliability analysis for the process of DIMA dynamic reconfiguration H.Y. Ju, S.Wang &T.D. Zhao 7.2 Maritime transportation Dynamic risk and reliability assessment for ship machinery decision making K. Dikis, I. Lazakis, A.L. Michala, Y. Raptodimos & G. Theotokatos Imminent ships collision risk assessment based on velocity obstacle Y. Huang, P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder & M.B. Mendel 7.3 Mechanical systems and engineering Statistical analysis of field data for a proven-in-use assessment according to ISO 13849 N. Nowizki, P. Zeiler, B. Bertsche & H. Moedden 7.4 Nuclear industry MCDET analysis: From input specification of uncertainties to the probabilistic evaluation of critical variables of dynamic systems N. Berner & J. Scheuer Dynamic features in large PSA studies Y. Butkova, H. Hermanns, O. Backstrom, P. Krcal &W.Wang Shutdown probabilistic safety assessment-method and results M. Cepin & M. Antoncic Application of PRA for the assessment of defence-in-depth of a nuclear power plant J.-E. Holmberg, O. Backstrom, M. Porthin &T. Tyrvainen Dynamic reliability assessment and prognostics with monitored data for multiple dependent degradation components J. Liu & E. Zio 7.5 Oil and gas industry Real-time guidance system for cranes to manage risks due to releases of hazardous materials G. Ancione, I. Kavasidis, G. Merlino & M.F. Milazzo Resistance-based probabilistic design by order statistics for an oil and gas deep-water well casing string affected by wear during kick load F. Di Maio, P. Baraldi, L. Brivio, E. Zio & C. Magno Barrier indicators vs risk-informing operational risk management A. Falck, R. Flage &T. Aven Dynamic risk analysis for operational decision support S. Haugen & N.J. Edwin Aggregation and presentation of safety barrier status information A.S. Hoem, K. Oien, S. Hauge & L. Bodsberg Interval estimation for degradation modeling of emerging contaminants based on multi-dimensionalWiener processes L. Hong, Z. Ye & R. Ling Application of Bayesian network to safety assessment of chemical plants during fire-induced domino effects N. Khakzad, G. Reniers & G. Landucci Monitoring of operational and organizational safety barriers S.S. Kilskar, K. Oien, S. Hauge, A.S. Hoem & L. Bodsberg Reliability study of subsurface safety valve control system in oil wells P.G.O. Oliveira, A. Braga & P.A.A. Garcia A case of dynamic risk management in the subarctic region N. Paltrinieri, T.O. Grotan, M. Bucelli & G. Landucci A dynamic evaluation methodology of risk level for defective high-pressure manifold Q.Wang, L. Zhang, J. Hu, X. Zhang &W. He 7.6 Power and energy systems Stochastic hybrid fault tree automaton for the production forecast of PV power plant F. Famoso, F. Chiacchio, S. Brusca & D. D'Urso 7.7 Rail transportation An importance measure based multi-state reliability and risk analysis for the subways N. Ali, S. Si, M. An & L. ChangChun Correlating train performance data with safety incidents: A preliminary case study for improving the understanding of the effects from train delay on safety risk across the GB rail network C. Harrison & R.Weltz 8. Foundational issues in risk Using an AFD threat identification-based approach to generate risk-reducing measures A. Jensen &T. Aven Safety and security-is there a need for an integrated approach? S.H. Jore Methodology for security risk assessments-is there a best practice? M. Maal, O. Busmundrud & M. Endregard A combined semantic and quantitative risk analysis approach: VBS/causality DL G. Edwadr, F. Innamorati, M. Sallak & D. Lourdeaux Qualitative versus quantitative risk assessment F. Ye 9. Human factors and human reliability analysis Consolidation of the human error assessment and reduction technique J.C.Williams & J.L. Bell 9.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Preparing for human spaceflight to the Moon 2020-2030 T.M. Stene, B.E. Danielsen & D. Trevisani 9.2 Chemical process industry Analysis of cognitive gaps: Training program in the sulfuric acid plant S. Avila Filho, M.N.E. Fonseca, A.L.A. Santos & C.N. Santino 9.3 Civil engineering/built environment Performance shaping factors for human error analysis in construction projects C. Bletsios, M. Papanikolaou &Y. Xenidis 9.4 Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Evaluation method of the waste processing system operation R. Giel, M. Mly'nczak & M. Plewa Modification of the HRA-method ESAT for improving human reliability in manual assembly C. Kern & R. Refflinghaus 9.5 Maritime transportation Establishing a central operation approval system in ship management companies based on a human reliability assessment model O. Soner, E. Akyuz & M. Celik Human reliability analysis of seafarers using CREAM method-the case of tanker shipping Q. Zhou, Y.D.Wong, H. Xu &V. Van Thai 9.6 Mechanical systems and engineering Human error probability estimation of maintenance activities in cold operating environment based on Bayesian network Y.Z. Ayele &A. Barabadi 9.7 Nuclear industry Rationalisation and updating of data on selected performance shaping factors L.K. Ainsworth As Low As Reasonable Assessment (ALARA): Applying discount usability to control room verification and validation R.L. Boring GOMS-HRA: A method for treating subtasks in dynamic human reliability analysis R.L. Boring & M. Rasmussen Quantifying human reliability analysis BBNs from partial information: Combining operational event analyses and expert judgment L. Podofillini, L. Mkrtchyan &V.N. Dang The implementation of complexity in computation-based human reliability analysis M. Rasmussen & R.L. Boring Advanced thermal hydraulic simulations for human reliability analysis V. Rychkov, B. Brocard & K. Dawson 9.8 Oil and gas industry Quantification of Performance Shaping Factors (PSFs) in maintenance tasks: Case study in a petrochemical plant M. Jahangiri, N. Hoboubi & P. Farhadi Experience and training as performance-shaping factors in human reliability analysis K. Laumann & M. Rasmussen Decomposition level of quantification in human reliability analysis M. Rasmussen & K. Laumann On use of the international standard ISO 14224 on reliability data collection in the oil and gas industry: How to consider failure causes from a human error perspective J.T. Selvik & L.J. Bellamy Human reliability in the petroleum industry: A case study of the Petro-HRA method C. Taylor, S. Oie & N. Paltrinieri 9.9 Road transportation Theoretical learning outcome of night driving. A comparison study of traditional real life training and simulator training R. Robertsen, G.B. Saetren, P. Haukeberg & H. Sivertsen 9.10 Software systems Attack tree analysis D.R.Wiseman 10. Maintenance modelling and applications 10.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Development of unmanned aerial vehicles maintenance strategy under an asset management framework P. Goncalves, J. Sobral & L.A. Ferreira The maintainability analysis and conceptual design of On-Orbit Service (OOS) system for space station Z. Guo, D. Zhou & X. Zhou 10.2 Civil engineering/built environment Inspection and maintenance optimization for OWT's using Bayesian networks W.M.G. Courage, M.P. Nicoreac & P.L. Kempker 10.3 Critical infrastructure Perspective renewal model for water distributions systems K. Pietrucha-Urbanik, D. Valis & Z. Vintr Bayesian network models for making maintenance decisions from data and expert judgment H. Zhang & D.W.R. Marsh 10.4 Electronics and electrical engineering A cost-benefit approach for the evaluation of prognostics-updated maintenance strategies in complex dynamic systems J.I. Aizpurua, V.M. Catterson, F. Chiacchio & D. D'Urso 10.5 Information technology and telecommunication A critical review of Information Assurance (IA) framework for condition-based maintenance of railway tracks Y.K. Al-Douri & P. Tretten 10.6 Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Repairable items inventory optimization based on maintenance data and risk criteria J. Sobral & C. Guedes Soares 10.7 Mechanical systems and engineering Generalized renewal process based on the q-Weibull distribution for reliability applications T.L. Correa, I.D. Lins, M.J.C. Moura & E. Lopez Droguett A preventive replacement scheduling model for multi-component system with lifetime limited components J.X. Hou, Y.L. Qian, L. Li & X.S.Wen Reliability assessment methodology for multiproduct and flexible industrial process F. Kristjanpoller, A. Crespo, M. Lopez-Campos, P. Viveros &T. Grubessich Managing failures of spares and standby equipment M.D. Norris 10.8 Nuclear industry Availability modelling of ageing equipment addressing multiple items and failure causes P. Martorell, I. Marton, S. Carlos, S. Martorell &A.I. Sanchez 10.9 Oil and gas industry Condition-based maintenance for a system with redundancy and load sharing M.C.A. Olde Keizer, R.H. Teunter & J. Veldman Assessment of a condition-based maintenance policy for Subsea systems: A preliminary study Yun Zhang, A. Barros &A. Rauzy 10.10 Power and energy systems Forecasting for day-ahead offshore maintenance scheduling under uncertainty J. Browell, I. Dinwoodie & D. McMillan Time series semi-Markov decision process with variable costs for maintenance planning R. Dawid, D. McMillan & M. Revie Development of a condition monitoring system for an articulated wave energy converter by FMEA C.J. Kenny, D. Findlay, I. Lazakis, J. Shek & P.R. Thies VME a tool for probabilistic models valuation in engineering asset management J. Lonchampt 10.11 Rail transportation A risk-based model for inspection and maintenance of railway rolling stock F. Dinmohammadi, B. Alkali & M. Shafiee 10.12 Road transportation As good as looking new maintenances Y. Dijoux, A. Grall & S.H. Le 10.13 Other industries Selective maintenance for multi mission oriented systems L.F.A. Ribeiro, C.A.V. Cavalcante &T.F.O. Rodriguez General framework about graphical analysis for overall effectiveness management P. Viveros, A. Crespo, F. Kristjanpoller, R. Stegmaier, E. Johns, T. Grubessich & L. Barbera 11. Management, governance, regulation and standards 11.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Whose risk: Tools for strategic risk management in complex organisations and systems-identifying a wood by summing the trees A.D. Bain Analyzing safety strategies at the front-end of projects K. Fossum, B.E. Danielsen & C.H. Berg What is the value of a standard? M. Revie, T. Bedford, L.Walls, J. Shimell &T. Baldwin 11.2 Chemical process industry Integrated management systems as a risk management tool: Combining ISO 9001, ISO 14001 & OHSAS 18001 standards in process industries F.C. Emetumah 11.3 Civil engineering/built environment Adaptation with small steps or a big step? A probabilistic approach of flood risk reduction in the Dutch Delta J. Dokter, T. Botterhuis, M. Kok & H. VanWaveren 11.4 Critical infrastructure Case studies of risk governance-a literature review B. Arvidsson &A. Cedergren 11.5 Nuclear industry Implementation of improvements to achieve a risk that is As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP), As Soon As Reasonably Practicable (ASARP) A. Bounds Reliability requirements and use of risk applications for the reliability program in Canadian nuclear power plants U. Menon, C. Morin &Y. Akl 11.6 Oil and gas industry Techno-economic feasibility assessment of life extension decision for safety critical assets I. Animah, M. Shafiee, N. Simms & M. Considine Performance-based regulation of HSE and the role of regulatory guidance O. Dahl, R. Rosness & U. Forseth Dynamic barrier management M. Fisher, S. Greenfield, H. Flotaker, A. Stokke & R. Pitblado Criteria for implementation of risk analysis recommendations in oil and gas offshore production installations C. Morais, E. Correia, A. Bravim & N. Ferreira Optimizing process safety performance by improving visibility of safety management system barriers E. Paton & D. Holland Implications of a new perspective of risk in the Norwegian petroleum regulation M. Roeyksund, O.A. Engen &T. Aven Trapped by compliance? The voices of the regulator R. Rosness, O. Dahl & U. Forseth 11.7 Rail transportation The use of design targets in harmonisation of safety management in the European rail industry D.J.K. Griffin & G. Bearfield Risk management plan for metro station safe operation T. Kertis & D. Prochazkova The potential of ontologies for safety and risk analysis C. van Gulijk, P. Hughes & M. Figueres-Esteban 11.8 Other industries Reliability capability assessment of cooperative networks using the example of developing demonstrators of structured materials F.V. Haase, M. Reinhold, R.Woll, M.Wolf & H. Seidlitz Design for reliability and safety, supported by international standards V. Loll Moving forward or back? Changes in Norway's risk governance strategy following the 2011 Oslo terror attacks M. Nilsen, P.G. Almklov, E. Albrechtsen & S. Antonsen Risk assessment-experts vs. lay people T. Stalhane &T. Malm Cooperation across government services: The relation between the Norwegian police and the Norwegian armed forces in the aftermath of the terror attacks of July 22nd 2011 K.Wasilkiewicz, A. Oren & S.O. Johnsen Passive safety applications in high consequence systems Y.M. Xiong, L.Y. Xiao, Ying Liu &Youjian Zhang 12. Mathematical methods and computational algorithms Reliability analysis of noncoherent systems based on logical differential calculus M. Kvassay, E. Zaitseva, J. Kostolny &V. Levashenko A fast tree-scanning algorithm finding a compact expression for the structure function of a system with known minimal path(cut)-sets J. Malinowski Automating compositional safety analysis using a failure type taxonomy for component fault trees F. Mohrle, M. Zeller, K. Hofig, M. Rothfelder & P. Liggesmeyer Control of technical objects operation quality with the use of simulation modeling PE L. Mu'slewski, K. Migawa & L. Knopik The use of rough set to estimate the quality of objects recognition and localization M. Stawowy &T. Targosi'nski 12.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Pitot sensor airflow measurement accuracy W. Ezzeddine, J. Schutz & N. Rezg Comparison of different methods for calculation of aircraft structure failure probability per single flight M.Woch & D. Valis Outline of the method for assessing fatigue life on the basis of crack length density function using the J-integral M. Zieja, M. Jasztal, S. Stepie'n & M.Wazny 12.2 Civil engineering/built environment Modelling of a bounded stochastic degradation process based on a transformed gamma process Y. Deng & M.D. Pandey Reliability analysis of offshore wind turbine support structures using Kriging models A. Morato, S. Sriramula & N. Krishnan Improved method to Calculate Additional Ramps Explicitly (CARE2) in quantitative risk analysis for road tunnels R.M.L. Nelisse &A.C.W.M. Vrouwenvelder 12.3 Critical infrastructure Hidden risks in electric grids due to dependency on transportation networks R. Vodak, M. Bil, Z. Krivankova, R. Andrasik & J. Kubecek Problems connected with determination of size of maximum expected disaster in selected site D. Prochazkova & J. Prochazka 12.4 Electronics and electrical engineering Weighted-graph models for reliability assessment: Extension to multi-state systems J.F. Aubry & N. Brinzei On some limiting theorems for different types of redundant systems H. Schabe & I. Shubinski 12.5 Information technology and telecommunication Advanced computing methodology for general highly reliable systems R. Bris & P. Byczanski Handoff rate in mobile networks: Dependence on the cell perimeter C. Tanguy 12.6 Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems A new idea to remanufacture safety-related components with respect to reliability A. Krini, D. Jorg, J. Krini, O. Krini & J. Borcsok Algorithm for optimal paths in multi-objective network N. Takahashi, H. Yamamoto, T. Akiba, X. Xiao & K. Shingyochi A new reliability improvement program for repairable products sold with two-dimensional warranty Y.K.Wang & Q. Yu Reliability modelling of automated guided vehicles using Petri nets R.D. Yan, S.J. Dunnett & L.M. Jackson 12.7 Mechanical systems and engineering Model selection with application to gamma process and inverse Gaussian process M. Zhang & M. Revie 12.8 Nuclear industry A formal definition of minimal cut sequences for dynamic, repairable and reconfigurable systems P.Y. Piriou, J.M. Faure & J.J. Lesage 12.9 Oil and gas industry Imperfect versus incomplete testing: Implications for safety A. Hafver, D.V. Lindberg, S. Eldevik, F.B. Pedersen, J. Domingues & L.F. Oliveira Accidental underwater release of CO2-CFD modelling of the underwater plume and the subsequent above water gas dispersion A. Huser, P. Vollestad, N. Rivedal, K. Armstrong, T. Bengherbia, G. Ferrara & M. van Essen 12.10 Power and energy systems Boolean approximation for calculating the reliability of a very large repairable system with dependencies among components M. Bouissou & O. Hernu Supply reliability and dynamic safety analysis of an alternative energy supply chain Z.N.L. Hansen, F. Markert, P. Jacobsen, A.S.T. Schmidt & E. Touray Probabilistic failure law fitting with a differential evolution algorithm J. Lonchampt, E. Dautreme & N. Bousquet 12.11 Rail transportation Reliability and exploitation analysis of power supply of alarm systems used in railway objects M. Siergiejczyk &A. Rosi'nski 12.12 Software systems AGenTS: Automatic generation of component fault tree stubs M. Zeller & K. Hofig 13. Monte Carlo simulation for reliability, availability, maintenance and safety applications 13.1 Critical infrastructure Identification and ranking of important elements in a gas transmission network by using ProGasNet P. Praks &V. Kopustinskas 13.2 Electronics and electrical engineering Component importance measures for complex repairable system G. Feng, E. Patelli, M. Beer & F.P.A. Coolen 13.3 Maritime transportation An assessment approach of maritime supply chain of energy vulnerability to piracy risk by simulation of spatial behavior M. Tanguy &A. Napoli 13.4 Mechanical systems and engineering Development of two methods for the characterisation of an automotive fleet behaviour based on the simulation of single car rides M. Hinz, F. Hienzsch & S. Bracke The choice of failure distribution for modelling the reliability and availability of a multi-component system J.K. Visser 13.5 Oil and gas industry Complex decision support using advanced availability modelling techniques M. Rogers 13.6 Power and energy systems Speed-up reliability assessment for multi-component systems: Importance sampling adapted to piecewise deterministic Markovian processes H. Chraibi, A. Dutfoy, T. Galtier & J. Garnier Optimizing energy production systems under uncertainty A.B. Huseby Composite system reliability assessment of different active power reserve planning strategies using probabilistic methods E. Okur & G. Sansavini 13.7 Road transportation Traffic accident hotspots: Identifying the boundary between the signal and the noise R. Andrasik & M. Bil 13.8 Rail transportation Extended Bow-Tie model for asset risk and reliability modelling. Application to a passenger lift M. Vileiniskis & R. Remenyte-Prescott 14. Occupational health and safety Will atypical working patterns become typical in the UK: What are the implications for occupational health and safety? H.A. Beers Design of organization and safety measures for the reclamation from friable asbestos of an industrial area in Italy L. Fedele Bayesian network analysis of the influence of labour market variables on accident rates of workers in Spain J.R. Lopez-Garcia, M.A. Mariscal, S. Garcia-Herrero & J.M. Gutierrez Analysis of economic and structural factors on occupational accidents using a generalized linear model: Example of application to Spain V. Gallego, S. Martorell &A.I. Sanchez 14.1 Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Synergies and trade-offs between OHS and productivity: An assessment method to support the design of new interventions A. Rosti, P. Trucco & D. Masi 14.2 Oil and gas industry A holistic approach to safety management in offshore oil and gas industry D. Botheju & K. Abeysinghe Models and tools for the simulation of exhaust dispersion in oil and gas offshore platforms M. Impala, A.C. Uggenti, R. Gerboni & F. Ganci 14.3 Road transportation Health risk assessment of heavy metals from transport M. Naplavova, F. Bozek, T. Kurek, J. Huzlik, I. Hoza & M. Pondelicek Working in partnership to address the risks of transporting goods by road N.C. Day 15. Optimisation methods for reliability, availability, maintenance and safety applications 15.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence An industrial implementation of an optimization based method for balancing safety, reliability and weight of aircraft systems C. Johansson, M. Derelov, J. Olvander, J. Bergstrom & H. Nilsson-Sunden Reliability-based structural design optimization of a double-stage swirler X. Liu, M. Huang, J. Yi & J. Xue Arc-tracking and non-electrical fire considerations in helicopter environment N. Verite & S. Bailly Reliability modeling and optimization of the spray process for seal coatings on the aero-engine compressor casing J. Xue, M. Huang, J. Yi & X. Liu 15.2 Critical infrastructure Robust portfolio modelling methodological approach to GB gas grid risk analysis via a simplified network version T. Sacco, G. Sansavini, M. Compare & E. Zio 15.3 Electronics and electrical engineering Availability of distributed systems: A new paradigm A. Segal &Y. Bot 15.4 Maritime transportation Sources of structural failure in ship unloaders G. Milana, K. Banisoleiman &A. Gonzalez 15.5 Power and energy systems Dependability optimization of process-level protection in an IEC-61850-based substation A. Altaher, S. Mocanu & J.M. Thiriet 15.6 Oil and gas industry Bayesian approach for safety barrier portfolio optimization A. Mancuso, M. Compare, A. Salo & E. Zio Application of an integrated stochastic optimization and GIS framework to the design of a real scale crude oil pipeline system E.C. Marcoulaki, A. Skretas & S. Gyftakis Integrating reliability and maintenance methodologies to improve asset availability A. Segal &Y. Bot 15.7 Rail transportation Safety margins for the reconfigurations of trains' compositions in motion M. Pawlik European rail transport management system mobile transmission safety analysis M. Pawlik, M. Siergiejczyk & S. Gago 16. Organisational factors, safety culture and socio-technical modelling 16.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Corn flakes and safety culture improvement E. Jacob, A. German & M. Shermon Safety systems in product safety culture L. Suhanyiova, R. Flin &A. Irwin 16.2 Agriculture and food industry Organisational safety indicators in aquaculture-a preliminary study I.M. Holmen, I.B. Utne & S. Haugen Vulnerability assessment of passenger transport system-case study A. Gorecka, M. Nowakowska &A. Tubis 16.3 Civil engineering/built environment A study on successful practices in a Norwegian company-a systematic approach and key contributing factors A. Ekambaram, T.M. Stene, M. Hamre &T.O. Stupstad 16.4 Critical infrastructure Operational improvement of systems and processes at critical infrastructure detection check sites J.F. Urbanek, J. Johanidesova, J.J. Urbanek & J. Barta 16.5 Healthcare Safety leadership influence on patient safety and the mediating role of unit safety climate E. Olsen & M.T. Jensen 16.6 Information technology and telecommunication General framework methodology to increase organizational learning in the field of asset management T. Grubessich, P. Viveros, R. Stegmaier, F. Kristjanpoller, V. Gonzalez-Prida & F. Peres 16.7 Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Impact of experiential learning on safety climate: A case study P. Cocca, F. Marciano, M. Alberti, M. Lambri & D. Lorenzi 16.8 Maritime transportation Identification and implementation of Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) for achieving safer and resilient passengers shipping operations V. Arslan, R.E. Kurt, E. Comrie, O. Turan & L. DeWolff Internationalization of domestic transportation systems and safety R.J. Bye & G.M. Lamvik 16.9 Nuclear industry Sociotechnical aspects in safety regulation in the high-risk industries M. Ylonen & O.A. Engen 16.10 Oil and gas industry Which types of leadership behaviors can promote safety in an interorganizational context? V. Milch & K. Laumann Economic crisis in the Norwegian offshore industry: How may it affect safety conditions offshore operations? K. Skarholt, G.M. Lamvik, S. Antonsen, J. Royrvik & J.R. Jonassen 16.11 Rail transportation From negative statements to positive safety P. Hughes, M. Figueres-Esteban & C. van Gulijk 16.12 Other industries The failure of knowledge-based task performance-a study of the police emergency response during the 22/7 terror attacks in Norway R.J. Bye, P.G. Almklov, O.M. Nyheim, A. Gilberg & S.O. Johnsen Vulnerability and prevention of fatal fires G. Gjosund, P.G. Almklov, K. Halvorsen & K. Storesund Evolution of the inspection of the industrial plants: Towards a "privatization" of the safety? V. Sanseverino-Godfrin 17. Prognostics and diagnostics 17.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Proposal of a new simulated annealing model-based fault identification technique applied to flight control EM actuators M.D.L. Dalla Vedova, A. Germana & P. Maggiore Fluctuation feature extraction of satellite telemetry data and on-orbit anomaly detection L. Zheng, J. Guang &T. Shihan Combustion engine condition estimation based on indirect diagnostics data D. Valis, K. Hasilova & L. Zak 17.2 Electronics and electrical engineering Test and evaluation of a fuzzy diagnostic model for PEFC B. Davies, L. Jackson & S.J. Dunnett A method for storage status assessment of electronic devices by model-based prognostics Y. Zhao, G. Fu & E. Zio 17.3 Maritime transportation An intelligent fault diagnosis system on ship machinery systems based on support vector machine principles U. Ozturk, K. Cicek & M. Celik 17.4 Mechanical systems and engineering Probabilities in safety of machinery-risk reduction effects by combination of full enclosure and fault detection in the process H. Moedden Deterioration modelling of contact surfaces for a friction drive system D.J. Rodriguez, J.J. Martinez & C. Berenguer 17.5 Oil and gas industry Bayesian belief networks for fault detection and diagnostics of a three-phase separator M. Vileniskis, R. Remenyte-Prescott, D. Rama & J.D. Andrews 17.6 Power and energy systems Cluster analysis of condition monitoring data O. Fink, L. Jenni, H.S. Nguyen, N. Ponnudurai, S. Subbiah & S. Turrin Predicting remaining life of transmission tower steelwork components M. Segovia, V.M. Catterson, A. Stuart, L. Johnston, H. Bain, R. McPhaden, R.Wylie &A. Hernandez 17.7 Rail transportation Data driven RUL estimation of rolling stock using intelligent functional test A.H.S. Garmabaki, A.M.N.D.B. Seneviratne, M. Ahmadi, A. Barabadi & U. Kumar 17.8 Road transportation A switching ensemble approach for remaining useful life estimation of electrolytic capacitors S. Al-Dahidi, F. Di Maio, P. Baraldi & E. Zio 17.9 Software systems Software fault detection in control systems A.H.S. Garmabaki,W. Birk & J. Lindstrom 18. Reliability databases, collection and analysis 18.1 Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems A comparative study of two failure models in throughput analysis of production lines L. Li, Y.L. Qian & K. Du Studies on information subsystem operation in container terminal based on simple example J. ' Swieboda & M. Zaj,ac 18.2 Oil and gas industry Improvements in the UK offshore hydrocarbon release database B.J. Bain, S.Wakefield & R.J. Borresen A hazard-based predictive approach for onshore gas transmission pipelines using historical failures K. Pesinis & K.F. Tee 18.3 Power and energy systems Failure and repair data analysis of power distribution systems: A case study M. Aliyari, A. Barabadi, R. Barababadi &A.H.S. Garmabaki Assessment and estimation of energy power sources availability D. Valis, K. Hasilova & J. Leuchter 18.4 Other industries Reliability analysis of product fleets based on operating data: Separation of risky fleet parts and partial risk prognosis S. Sochacki, C. Rosebrock & S. Bracke Integrated reliability analysis in task of emission production orders in ERP system: A case study on a company's sports segment M.N.E. Fonseca, P. Carvalho, R. Kalid & S. Avila Filho Description of reliability content by using the ReliaLibrary web-database F.V. Haase, F.P. Geithner & R.Woll 19. Resilience modelling and assessment Resilience modeling of multi-state degradation systems based on aggregated stochastic processes S.J. Du, R. Kang, Z.G. Zeng & E. Zio Review of methods for measuring societal resilience and how they address critical infrastructures H. Hassel & J. Johansson Pandemic landscape of new strains of society A. Oren, T.O. Grotan & O. Dahl 19.1 Chemical process industry Probabilistic vulnerability analysis of process facilities to external acts of interference F. Argenti, V. Cozzani, G. Landucci & G. Reniers 19.2 Critical infrastructure Towards resilience operationalization in urban transport system: The RESOLUTE project approach E. Bellini, P. Nesi, L. Coconea, E. Gaitanidou, P. Ferreira, A. Simoes &A. Candelieri Modeling and resilience assessment of a telephone communication network D. Chao, Y.Watanabe, T. Kanno & K. Furuta Analytical resilience quantification for critical infrastructure and technical systems J. Finger, S. Hasenstein, U. Siebold & I. Haring Calibrated resilience landscapes of composite protection: Theoretical grounding of an empirical approach T.O. Grotan & J. Bergstrom Applying resilience concepts in crisis management and critical infrastructures-the DARWIN project I. Herrera, T.O. Grotan, R.Woltjer, B. Nevhage, S. Nilsson, J. Trnka, B. Adini, O. Cohen, R. Forsberg & C.O. Jonson Analysis and comparison of three measures for system resilience C. Jin, R. Li, R. Kang &Y. Yang Capturing societal interdependencies from a flow perspective-part I: Method and model J. Johansson, H. Hassel & L. Svegrup The population contribution in crisis management: A case of uncertainty and resilience B.I. Kruke Novel techniques and approaches for risk based application of resilience concepts to critical infrastructure: An introduction to the IMPROVER project D. Lange & D. Honfi Identification of the electricity blackout impacts on the environmental security A. Oulehlova Critical infrastructure resilience index C. Pursiainen, B. Rod, G. Baker, D. Honfi & D. Lange Capturing societal interdependencies from a flow perspective-part II: Application L. Svegrup, J. Johansson & H. Hassel 19.3 Information technology and telecommunication A method for assessing resilience of socio-technical IT-systems F. Landegren, S.M. Sulaman, P. Moller, M. Host & J. Johansson 19.4 Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Logistic system resilience modelling-a dynamic, multiagent, service engineering oriented approach L.A. Bukowski, J. Feliks & K. Majewska 19.5 Maritime transportation Framework for quantitative resilience analysis of maritime transportation systems from risk perspectives: A case study of a ship stuck in ice in Arctic waters S. Fu, D. Zhang, E. Zio, Y.Wang & X.P. Yan Modeling epistemic uncertainty in resilience assessment for water transportation systems Y.Wang, S. Fu, E. Zio, D. Zhang & X.P. Yan 19.6 Nuclear industry Resilience activation in extreme situations: A literature review C. Geoffroy, E. Rigaud & F. Guarnieri 19.7 Oil and gas industry New strains-the emergence of cyber physical vulnerabilities S.O. Johnsen 19.8 Rail transportation Using gaming and resilience engineering principles to energize a situated resilience training of front-end operators and managers T.O. Grotan, I. Waero, J.K.J. van der Vorm, F.A. van der Beek & D.C. Zuiderwijk Vulnerability assessment of passenger transport system-case study T. Nowakowski, A. Tubis & S.Werbi'nska-Wojciechowska 19.9 Other industries Resilience assessment of internet of things: A case study on smart buildings R. Mock, L. Lopez, Chr. Zipper & M. Schonenberger Safety procedures at university campus: The implementation of evacuation exercises A.L.A. Santos & M. Queiros 20. Risk and RAMS analysis applications 20.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence The Markov forecasting model of landing states based on flight data C. Hu, S. Zhou, Y. Xie &W. Chang Risk analysis of equipment system-of-systems architecture based on entropy and brittleness Z. Jiang, X. Pan &Y. Lin Aerospace product process FMEA technology and its application F. Li, L. Ren, J. Lin, Z. Li & S. Lin 20.2 Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Application of FRAM to risk assessment in manufacturing process Z. Zheng & J. Tian 20.3 Maritime transportation Effect of large initial ship stability on ship safety: An example study G. Bulian, F. Bresciani, A. Francescutto & F. Fucile 20.4 Oil and gas industry Evaluation of F&G detection coverage based on Norsok S-001 J.H. Park, T.Y. Lee, T.S. Choi, G.S. Kim, K.I. Nam & G. Mule A qualitative analysis of the impact of permanent mooring system failures on FPSO production N. Ramrattan &A. Monferini 20.5 Power and energy systems Analysis framework for performance evaluation of reliability management in power systems with increased uncertainty E. Heylen, G. Deconinck & D. Van Hertem 20.6 Rail transportation Interfaces, functions and components based failure analysis for railway RAMS assessment Q. Mahboob, B. Altmann & S. Zenglein Systemic hazard identification using bow-tie approach M. Mly'nczak 21. Software reliability models and safety assessment methods 21.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence A safety analysis method with correlation of states for integrated modular avionics systems based on an extended generalized stochastic Petri net R. Han & S.Wang 21.2 Electronics and electrical engineering Developing and assuring complex critical data centric systems I.M. Glazebrook 21.3 Nuclear industry Integrating model checking and PRA: A novel safety assessment approach for digital I&C systems J. Lahtinen & K. Bjorkman 21.4 Software systems An application for early safety assessment to bridge the gap between design and automated dependability assessment F. Chiacchio, C. Romano, F. Merlo, D. D'Urso, L. Compagno, D. Parker, M.Walker, Y. Papadopoulos & G. Manno Extended approach for the prediction of critical errors in software systems J. Krini, O. Krini, A. Krini & J. Borcsok Implementation of a cloud-based service-oriented architecture for hardware control systems supported by neural network O. Latka & J. Provost Reliability analysis of open source software: A Bayesian approach considering both fault detection and correction processes Yu Liu, M. Xie, L.Wang & Q. Hu AMDesigner: An architecture modeling tool for the use in multi-disciplinary design projects M. Rajabalinejad & G.M. Bonnema Software reliability prediction using chaos theory and heterogeneous ensemble learning H. Tong, B. Liu, Y.Wu & B. Xu Safe software: A suitable case for an evidence-based treatment? K.R.Wallace 22. Structural reliability modelling 22.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Prediction of the P-S-N curve of mechanical component based on fatigue test data under random loading Y.Wang, H. Cheng & L. Liu 22.2 Civil engineering/built environment Assessment of structural reliability for punching K. Jung & J. Markova Analyses of imposed load models in current standards J. Markova Uncertainties in crack width verification of reinforced concrete structures J. Markova & M. Sykora Safety requirements for buildings under induced earthquakes due to gas extraction R.D.J.M. Steenbergen &A.C.W.M. Vrouwenvelder A novel damage detection approach using output-only responses based on mode shape identification and improved gapped smoothing method Y. Zhou, J. He &W. Zhang 22.3 Mechanical systems and engineering The probabilistic approach and its practical applications in medical and mechanical engineering K. Frydrysek Reliability of components subjected to interacting corrosion and fatigue processes B.J. Leira The concept of a comparative assessment of the reliability of industrial gearboxes on the basis of diagnostic tests-a case study M. Sokolski & P.M. Sokolski Method of reliability assessment of pin joints in undercarriages of open-pit mining machinery-a case study P.M. Sokolski Condition monitoring and diagnostics as important factors for increasing the reliability of machinery components-case study F.W. Przystupa, M. Sokolski & P.M. Sokolski 23. Systems reliability models and applications Automatic generation of fault trees: A survey on methods and approaches A. Berres & H. Schumann Reliability and performance analysis of multi-state systems based on analytical load flow considerations H. George-Williams, E. Patelli & M. Lee Efficient availability assessment of reconfigurable complex multi-state systems with interdependencies H. George-Williams & E. Patelli Modeling dependent competing failure processes based on stochastic hybrid systems M. Fan, R. Kang, Z.G. Zeng & E. Zio 23.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Modeling method of performance reliability for radar system based on parallel-in-weight model J. Huang, A. Guo, Z. Ge & S. Zhang The shape of things to come: A look at the different ways we approach predicting in-service reliability of new equipment A. Mulholland Evaluation of PFD of safety systems with time-dependent and test-step varying failure rates L.F. Oliveira, J. Domingues, A. Hafver, D.V. Lindberg & F.B. Pedersen Reliability modeling method of space mechanism considering coupling and cascading failure modes with hybrid uncertainty P.D.Wang, Jian-Guo Zhang, J.Y. Sun, C.L. Tan &Yuqiang Liu Numerical simulation on the fluctuation mechanism of instantaneous availability Y. Yang, Y. Chen, Y.Q. Du & R. Kang 23.2 Civil engineering/built environment Warranty analysis of a two-component system with failure interaction N. Zhang, M. Fouladirad &A. Barros Stochastic modelling of cascading failures in k-out-of-n system H. Lee & J.H. Cha 23.3 Critical infrastructure Analyzing controllability, efficiency and reliability of network systems by dynamic simulation F. Han & E. Zio Quantifying the importance of elements of a gas transmission network from topological, reliability and controllability perspectives, considering capacity constraints F. Han, E. Zio, V. Kopustinskas & P. Praks Component importance in infrastructure networks subject to spatially distributed hazards A. Scherb, D. Straub, L. Garre &Y. Yang Risk and reliability assessment of the district heating network methodology with case study I. Zutautaite, J. Augutis, R. Krikstolaitis, G. Dundulis, M. Valincius & S. Rimkevicius 23.4 Electronics and electrical engineering Basic requirements for proven-in-use arguments J. Braband & H. Schabe 23.5 Information technology and telecommunication Availability evaluation of the virtualized infrastructure manager in network function virtualization environments M. Di Mauro, M. Longo, F. Postiglione, R. Restaino & M. Tambasco 23.6 Maritime transportation Risk assessment of marine accidents in the Aegean Sea I. Koromila, Z. Nivolianitou &T. Giannakopoulos 23.7 Mechanical systems and engineering Safety and reliability of independent metering systems in mobile machinery B. Beck & S.J.Weber Error allocation for motion mechanism based on the kinematic accuracy reliability X. Chen, X.-Y. Li, L. Liu & R. Kang Reliability model of incomplete common cause failure systems subject to two kinds of common causes R. Gu & J. Qin Design-to-test: An approach to enhance testability of programmable controllers for critical systems-two case studies C. Ma & J. Provost Approach to analyse hydraulic or pneumatic control units K. Pickard Determination of reliability distributions and warranty costs based on qualitative quality assurance method K. Pickard Reliability evaluation of circular multi-state sliding window systems with bidirectional connecting abilities J. Qin, R. Gu & J. Yang 23.8 Nuclear industry Generic framework for the automated integration of impacts from hazards in PSA models N. Berner & J. Herb A new method for evaluation of the qualitative importance measures A. Volkanovski &V. Matuzas 23.9 Oil and gas industry New simulation model for evaluating the production availability of petroleum systems C. Folleau, C. Vinuesa & S. Collas Improving BOP reliability and availability through RAM analysis and expanded FMEA scope K. Nouri, S.M. John & J. Alexander Liquefaction technology from a reliability perspective L. Tran, G. Cozon & C. Buccisano Reliability assessment for subsea HIPPS valves with partial stroke testing S.Wu, L. Zhang, S. Liu, Yiliu Liu, A. Barros & M.A. Lundteigen Reliability analysis of gas turbine systems based on fault tree and Bayesian networks Jiwang Zhang, L. Zhang, L. Duan & J.Wang 23.10 Power and energy systems Risk and reliability assessment of future power systems W.A. Bukhsh, K.R.W. Bell &T. Bedford Assessing risks related to regional power distribution grids and security of electricity supply E. Gramme &T. Eriksen Impact of degraded communication on the reliability of electric networks: The application of grid splitting D. Tian & G. Sansavini 23.11 Rail transportation Decision making for railway operations using RAM analysis C. Pistolas & G. Vernon Experimental model of non-cohesive layers ground with reinforcement A. Surowiecki & J. Ryczy'nski 23.12 Software systems Redundancy handling with model-based systems engineering N. Nguyen, F. Mhenni & J.Y. Choley 23.13 Other industries Hazard and RAMS studies in a large telescope S. Bellver, A. Pitigoi & P. Fernandez 24. Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis Uncertainty quantification in bow-tie analysis: A mixed approach of fuzzy theory with Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence H. Abdo & J.-M. Flaus An extended BDD method for the assessment of system reliability under aleatory and epistemic uncertainties A.J. Imakhlaf & M. Sallak The variance-based importance measure analysis of the fuzzy failure criterion and its state dependent parameter solution G.J. Li, Z.Z. Lu, C.Y. Xie & J. Qin Fuzzy modeling of cardinal features of a complex technical system M. Pajak 24.1 Aeronautics, aerospace and defence Reliability analysis of cascade coupling space mechanism considering reliability influence factors and imperfect information C.L. Tan, Yuqiang Liu, Jian-Guo Zhang, J.Y. Sun & P.D.Wang Method for evaluation of the influence of LPV-200 procedures usage on the probability of CFIT W. Kaleta & J. Skorupski Fuzzy risk matrix as a tool for the analysis of the air traffic safety J. Skorupski 24.2 Critical infrastructure Imprecise probabilistic framework for power grids risk assessment and sensitivity analysis R. Rocchetta & E. Patelli Dimensionality reduction of the resilience model of a critical infrastructure network by means of elementary effects sensitivity analysis P. Turati, N. Pedroni & E. Zio 24.3 Mechanical systems and engineering Robust identification of low velocity impact events under different impactor stiffness A. Beligni, C. Sbarufatti, A. Gilioli & M. Giglio Uncertainty in process chains O. Meyer, J. Keller & C.Weihs 24.4 Nuclear industry Two interpretations of the risk increase factor definition O. Backstrom, P. Krcal &W.Wang State-of-the-art reactor consequence analyses project: Uncertainty analysis of a potential unmitigated short-term station blackout of the Surry nuclear power station S.T. Ghosh, K.W. Ross, N.E. Bixler, S.J.Weber, C.J. Sallaberry & J.A. Jones Development of advanced surveillance requirements of nuclear power plants using a risk-informed approach in the horizon 2020 S. Martorell, I. Marton, P. Martorell, J.F. Villanueva, S. Carlos, A.I. Sanchez & R. Mullor A comparison between traditional BEPU and Extended-BEPU approaches for deterministic safety analysis on nuclear power plants F. Sanchez-Saez, S. Carlos, I. Marton, P. Martorell, J.F. Villanueva & S. Martorell Gini out of the bottle: Global sensitivity analysis with distance correlation and energy statistics E. Plischke & E. Borgonovo A sensitivity analysis for the adequacy assessment of a multi-state physics modeling approach for reliability analysis W.Wang, F. Di Maio & E. Zio 24.5 Power and energy systems Evaluation of the impact of intermittent sources on smart grid equipments D.N. Nguyen, E. Grall-Maes, P. Beauseroy, E. Deloux, Y. Dijoux & G. Malarange 25. Visualisation of risk 25.1 Critical infrastructure Managing major hazard industry risk I. Travers &A. Aitken 25.2 Maritime transportation Visualizing and gauging collision risk M.B. Mendel & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder 25.3 Mechanical systems and engineering Reliability engineering in face of shorten product life cycles: Challenges, technique trends and method approaches to ensure product reliability S. Bracke, M. Hinz, M. Inoue, E. Patelli, S. Kutz, H. Gottschalk, B. Ulutas, C. Hartl, P. Mors & P. Bonnaud 25.4 Nuclear industry Influence of trust in institutions on public acceptance of nuclear power from a historical context across nuclear countries P. Mlejnkova, E. Patelli, C. Grundy & Z. Hodgson 25.5 Oil and gas industry CATES (Consequence Assessment Tool for pipelines Emergency Situations) O. Baldan, E. Funnemark, A. Huser & J. Ingvarson Advanced risk visualization for the offshore industry V. Mittal, V. Borges & K. Shaba Basic approach to the risk assessment of natural gas pipelines P. Fuchs, J. Kraus & J. Novak Risk mapping in quantitative risk analysis for oil and gas facilities G. Maggioli, R. Gerboni, A. Carpignano & F. Ganci Multidimensional risk evaluation: Information visualization to support a decision-making process in the context of natural gas pipeline C. Medeiros, M.H. Alencar, T.V. Garcez &A.T. de Almeida 25.6 Power and energy systems A method for visualisation of uncertainty and robustness in complex long-term decisions J. Hanski &T. Rosqvist 25.7 Rail transportation Ontology network analysis for safety learning in the railway domain M. Figueres-Esteban, P. Hughes & C. van Gulijk