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Decision-making
Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
978-0-387-77427-5 (ISBN)
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This monograph presents a new generalization of utility theory, fuzzy rationality. It is a group of techniques that can be applied in different stages of decision analysis - problem modeling, measuring preferences and uncertainty, and the analysis of risk attitude. A common feature of all these techniques is the ability to measure the actual opinion of the decision maker. At a later stage, the subjective information is analyzed in order to identify the best alternative according to the real, fuzzy rational decision maker.
List of abbreviations and notations.- Foreword.- Introduction.- Modelling decision problems.- Value functions under strict certainty.- Measuring uncertainty with probabilities.- Measuring preferences with utilities.- Balancing preferences and entirely measured uncertainty.- Balancing preferences and partially measured uncertainty.- Appendix 1: Binary relations.- Appendix 2: Finding the interval of the extremum at hill and valley preferences.- Appendix 3: Elements of probability theory.- Appendix 4: Constructing frequentist distributions and frequentist estimates of numerical characteristics.- Appendix 5: Constructing subjective distributions and assessment of numerical characteristics of continuous random variables.- Appendix 6: Constructing the distribution law of NPV of average annual heating costs using risk analysis.- Appendix 7: Algorithms and examples for elicitation of one-dimensional utility.- Appendix 8: Analytical approximation of one-dimensional utility at strictly decreasing preferences.- Appendix 9: Constructing multi-dimensional utility at mutual utility independence.- Appendix 10: Defining the uncertainty interval of scaling constants.- Appendix 11: Ranking alternatives under strict uncertainty.- Appendix 12: Approximation using the maximax criterion.- References.- Author index.- Example index.- Figure index.- Table index.- Algorithm index.- Task index.
Erscheint lt. Verlag | 1.7.2020 |
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Reihe/Serie | IFSR International Series on Systems Science and Engineering |
Zusatzinfo | 20 Illustrations, black and white; 380 p. 20 illus. |
Verlagsort | New York, NY |
Sprache | englisch |
Maße | 155 x 235 mm |
Themenwelt | Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik |
Wirtschaft ► Betriebswirtschaft / Management ► Allgemeines / Lexika | |
Wirtschaft ► Volkswirtschaftslehre ► Ökonometrie | |
ISBN-10 | 0-387-77427-0 / 0387774270 |
ISBN-13 | 978-0-387-77427-5 / 9780387774275 |
Zustand | Neuware |
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