Judgment, Decision–making and Success in Sport

Michael Bar-Eli is the Nat Holman Chair in Sports Research at the Guilford Glazer School of Business and Management and Head of the Management Studies program at Ben-Gurion University of the Negev in Israel. He is also Senior Vice President of the Asian-South Pacific Association of Sport Psychology. Henning Plessner is Professor of Social Psychology at the University of Leipzig. His main research areas are Judgment and Decision-Making in sports and the psychology of intuition. Markus Raab is Department Head of Performance Psychology at the German Sport University Cologne. He is Editor of the German Journal of Sport Psychology , Section Editor of the International Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology , and Editorial Board Member of Psychology of Sport and Exercise .

Preface vii Judgement and Decision Making as a Topic of Sport Science 1 Maximization and optimization in sport 3 JDM history 4 The development of JDM research in sport 6 Rationale and structure of this book 10 Theories of (Social) Judgement 13 Psychophysics 16 Social judgement theory 18 Social cognition 19 Summary 25 Theories of Decision Making 27 Subjective expected utility theory 31 Prospect theory 32 Decisional field theory 33 Simple heuristic approach 35 Summary 37 Expertise in JDM 39 What are the components of expertise in JDM? 42 How can we measure JDM expertise? 43 How can we explain JDM expertise? 46 How can we develop JDM expertise? 47 Summary 48 Athletes 51 Judging one's own performance 53 What choices are athletes confronted with? 59 How do athletes choose? 66 JDM training for athletes 78 Summary 89 Managers and Coaches 91 JDM as a leadership task 93 Managerial JDM 95 Coaches' JDM 108 Summary 121 Referees 123 The tasks of referees 126 Perceptual limitations 127 Prior knowledge 132 Rules of information integration 136 Improving referees' JDM 139 Summary 143 Observers 145 Biases in judgements of sport performance 148 Predictions and betting 154 Summary 160 References 163 Author Index 189 Subject Index 201