Conflict After the Cold War

Richard K. Betts is Leo A. Shifrin Professor of War and Peace Studies in the Department of Political Science and School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, and author of American Force, Enemies of Intelligence, Military Readiness, Surprise Attack, and other books.

Preface

PART I Visions of Conflict and Peace

1.1 The End of History?

Francis Fukuyama

1.2 Why We Will Soon Miss the Cold War

John J. Mearsheimer

1.3 The Clash of Civilizations?

Samuel P. Huntington

1.4 The Strongmen Strike Back

Robert Kagan

PART II International Realism: Anarchy and Power

2.1 The Melian Dialogue





Thucydides





2.2 Doing Evil in Order to Do Good





Niccolò Machiavelli





2.3 The State of Nature and the State of War





Thomas Hobbes





2.4 Realism and Idealism





Edward Hallett Carr





2.5 The Origins of War in Neorealist Theory





Kenneth N. Waltz





2.6 Hegemonic War and International Change





Robert Gilpin





2.7 Power, Culprits, and Arms

Geoffrey Blainey

PART III International Liberalism: Institutions and Cooperation

3.1 Perpetual Peace





Immanuel Kant





3.2 Peace Through Arbitration





Richard Cobden





3.3 Community of Power vs. Balance of Power





Woodrow Wilson





3.4 Liberalism and World Politics





Michael W. Doyle





3.5 Power and Interdependence





Robert O. Keohane and Joseph S. Nye





3.6 The Obsolescence of Major War

John Mueller

PART IV Psychology and Culture: The Human Mind, Norms, and Learning

4.1 Why War?





Sigmund Freud





4.2 How Good People Do Bad Things





Stanley Milgram





4.3 War and Misperception





Robert Jervis





4.4 Spirit, Standing, and Honor





Richard Ned Lebow





4.5 War Is Only an Invention—Not a Biological Necessity





Margaret Mead





4.6 People Must Have a Tribe





Edward O. Wilson





4.7 Men, Women, and War

J. Ann Tickner

PART V Economics: Interests and Interdependence

5.1 Money Is Not the Sinews of War, Although It Is Generally So Considered





Niccolò Machiavelli





5.2 The Great Illusion





Norman Angelll





5.3 Paradise Is a Bazaar





Geoffrey Blainey





5.4 Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism





V. I. Lenin





5.6 Imperialism and Capitalism





Joseph Schumpeter





5.7 War as Economic Policy

Alan S. Milward

5.8 Structural Causes and Economic Effects





Kenneth N. Waltz





5.9 Trade and Power

Richard Rosecrance

PART VI Politics: Ideology and Identity

6.1 Democratization and War





Edward D. Mansfield and Jack Snyder





6.2 Nations and Nationalism





Ernest Gellner





6.3 Possible and Impossible Solutions to Ethnic Civil Wars





Chaim Kaufmann





6.4 The Troubled History of Partition

Radha Kumar

PART VII Military Technology, Strategy, and Stability

7.1 Cooperation Under the Security Dilemma





Robert Jervis





7.2 The Offensive/Defensive Balance of Military Technology





Jack S. Levy





7.3 Why Nuclear Proliferation May Be Good





Kenneth N. Waltz





7.4 Why Waltz Is Wrong





Scott D. Sagan





7.5 The Dynamics of Cyber Conflict

Robert Jervis and Jason Healey

7.6. Is Strategy an Illusion?

Richard K. Betts

PART VIII Terrorism, Revolution, and Unconventional Warfare

8.1 The Strategic Logic of Terrorism





Martha Crenshaw





8.2 Speech to the American People





Osama bin Ladin





8.3 Science of Guerrilla Warfare





T. E. Lawrence





8.4 On Guerrilla Warfare





Mao Tse-Tung





8.5 Patterns of Violence in World Politics





Samuel P. Huntington





8.6 Insurgency and Counterinsurgency





David Galula





8.7 Principles, Imperatives, and Paradoxes of Counterinsurgency

Eliot Cohen, Conrad Crane, Jan Horvath, and John Nagl

8.8 The "Hearts and Minds" Fallacy

Jacqueline L. Hazelton

PART IX Threat Assessment and Misjudgment: Recurrent Dilemmas

9.1 The German Threat? 1907





Eyre Crowe and Thomas Sanderson





9.2 The German Threat? 1938





Neville Henderson





9.3 The Threat to Ukraine From the West

Vladimir Putin

9.4 China: The Return of Bipolarity

Oystein Tunsjo

9.5 China: The Overestimated Threat

Michael Beckley

9.6 How Could Vietnam Happen? An Autopsy

James C. Thomson, Jr

PART X New Threats and Strategies for Peace

10.1 Environmental Changes as Causes of Acute Conflict

Thomas F. Homer-Dixon

10.2 Why Cyberdeterrence Is Different

Martin C. Libicki

10.3 The Dark Side of Progress





Fred C.Iklé





10.4 A World of Liberty Under Law

G. John Ikenberry and Anne-Marie Slaughter

10.5 Peace Among Civilizations?

Samuel P. Huntington