The Turnout Myth

Daron Shaw is a Professor of Government at the University of Texas at Austin and co-director of the Fox News Poll, co-director of the University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, director of the Texas Lyceum Poll, and associate Principle Investigator for the 2020 American National Election Study. He is author of The Race to 270 and co-author of Unconventional Wisdom (Oxford). John Petrocik is Professor Emeritus Political Science at the University of Missouri and worked as a consultant and strategist for political campaigns. He co-authored Unconventional Wisdom (Oxford) and The Changing American Voter, winner of the American Political Science Association's 1976 Woodrow Wilson Award, and is the author of Party Coalitions.

Preface
Chapter 1: If Only Our People Had Turned Out!
Chapter 2: American Turnout: A History and Portrait
Chapter 3: A Theoretical Exploration of Voting and Turnout
Chapter 4: Turnout and Partisan Vote Choice: Over Time and Across States and Districts
Chapter 5: Turnout and Partisan Vote Choice: Over Time and Within States and Districts
Chapter 6: Congressional District Results: A Further Look
Chapter 7: Why Is the Conventional Wisdom Wrong?
Chapter 8: If Turnout isn't Driving Election Swings, What is?
Chapter 9: Some Final Data and Thoughts on the Turnout/Vote Choice Link
Appendices
References