Reduction And Predictability Of Natural Disasters

John Rundle, Don Turcotte

Preface /J. B. Rundle, B. Klein, and D. L. Turcotte -- Societal Effects of Natural Disasters -- Scaling Laws for Natural Disaster Fatalities /S. F. Nishenko and C. C. Barton -- Global Fatalities from Earthquakes in the Pt 2000 Years: Prognosis for the Next /R. Bilham -- Floods and Landslides -- Diffusion-Limited Aggregation as a Paradigm for Modeling Dynamical Processes /L. M. Sander -- A Dynamical Systems Approach to Flood-Frequency Forecasting /D. L. Turcotte and K. Haselton -- Multiplicative Cascades and Spatial Variability in Rainfall, River Networks, and Floods /V. K. Gupta and E. Wayrnire -- Inference for a Channel Network Model and Implications for Flood Scaling /B. M. Troutman -- Thickness Statistics of Sedimentary Layers Generated by Gravity-Driven Flows /D. H. Rothman and J. P. Grotzinger -- Earthquakes -- Thoughts on Modeling and Prediction of Earthquakes /S. C. Eubank -- Complexity and Earthquake Forecasting /C. C. Sammis, D. Sornette, and H. SaZeur -- on the Scaling of Average Slip with Rupture Dimensions of Earthquakes /S. Gross -- Rupture Characteristics , Recurrence , and Predict ability in a Slider-Block Model for Earthquakes /Ja B. Rundle. W. Klein. and S. Gross -- A Comparison of Simple Eqrthquake Models: -- Self- Organized Criticality vs . Intermittent P hose Locking /A . V. He rz -- Spinodals and Scaling in Slider-Block Models /w. Klein, C. Ferguson, and J. B. Rundle -- A Hierarchical Model for Precursory Seismic Activation /w. L Newman, D. L. Turcotte, and A. Gabrielov -- Observation of Boltzmann Fluctuations in Stochastic, Massless Slider-Block Simulations /J. B. Rundle, W. Klein, and D. L. Turcotte -- Prediction Studies of Earthquake Falut Models and Applicat ions to Seismic Catalogs /J. Carison -- Index.