Modelling and Analysis in Arms Control

I History, Lessons, Issues.- Arms Control and Strategic Military Stability.- Arms Control for the Long Term.- Arms Control - Lessons Learned and the Future.- Arms Control Frustration - Understanding the Impasse and how to Break it.- Defense Outlays and Arms Control in the Election Cycle.- II Pre-Arms Control Assessment of Options and Objectives.- Report of the Chairman: What Role can Analysis Play in Illuminating Arms Control Objectives and Options.- The Use of Arms Control Negotiations Simulation as a Bridge Between Policy and Analysis.- Pre-Arms Control Assessment of the Strategic Balance: The Impact of Objectives and Approaches.- Generation of Alternative Force Configuration for Arms Control Negotiations Using Linear Programming.- Stability, SDI, Air Defense and Deep Cuts.- Pre-Arms Control Assessment of the Conventional Balance in Europe.- On Strategic Stability in Europe Without Nuclear Weapons.- Defense Expenditure Dynamics Between Two Potential Opponents.- Deterrence and Incomplete Information - The Game Theory Approach.- III Negotiations.- Report of the Chairman: Negotiation Issues.- Two-Person Bargaining Between Threat and Fair Solution.- General Ordinal 2×2 Games in Arms Control Applications.- Building a US-Soviet Working Relationship: Ideas on Process.- Problems of Flexibility in the Nuclear Arms Race.- Superpowers and Arms Negotiations: Political Climates and Optimal Strategy.- A Computerized Third Party.- IV Verification and Post-Agreements Assessments.- Report of the Chairman: Verification and Post-Agreement Assessment.- Arms Control and Strategic Defence.- The Prospects for a Satellite Monitoring Agency.- The Feasibility of Space-Based Remote Sensing in the Verification of a Treaty to Prevent an Arms Race in Outer Space.- Notes on Arms-ControlVerification: A Game-Theoretic Analysis.- On Concepts for Solving Two-Person Games which Model the Verification Problem in Arms Control.- International Atomic Energy Agency Safeguards.- Verification at the Crossroad.- Workshop Participants.- About the Authors.