SIPRI Yearbook 2017

SIPRI is an independent international institute dedicated to research into conflict, armaments, arms control and disarmament. Established in 1966, SIPRI provides data, analysis and recommendations, based on opens sources, to policymakers, researchers, media and the interested public.

1. Introduction: international security, armaments and disarmament: Dan Smith:
Part I. Armed conflicts and conflict management, 2016
2. Armed conflict and peace processes:
Ian Davis: Overview
Margareta Sollenberg and Erik Melander: I. Patterns of organized violence, 200716
Pedro Valenzuela: II. Out of the darkness? The hope for peace in Colombia
Desirée Nilsson and Isak Svensson: III. Mapping armed conflicts over Islamist claims: exploring regional variations
Camilla Schippa and Thomas Morgan: IV. The Global Peace Index 2017
3. Armed conflict and instability in the Middle East and North Africa:
Ian Davis, Dan Smith and Pieter D. Wezeman: Overview
Dan Smith: I. The Middle East and North Africa: 2016 in perspective
Ian Davis: II. The Islamic State in 2016: a failing caliphate but a growing transnational threat?
Pieter D. Wezeman: III. Military spending and arms transfers to the Middle East and North Africa
4. European security:
Ian Anthony: Overview
Ian Anthony: I. Conflict or peace in Europe? Increasing uncertainties, rising insecurities
Ekaterina Klimenko: II. Conflicts in the post-Soviet space: recent developments
Michael Sahlin: III. Turkeys search for stability and legitimacy in 2016
5. Peace operations and conflict management:
Jaïr Van Der Lijn: Overview
Timo Smit: I. Global trends in peace operations
Jaïr Van Der Lijn and Timo Smit: II. Regional trends and developments
Jaïr Van Der Lijn: III. Protection of civilians: the case of South Sudan
Timo Smit: IV. Table of multilateral peace operations, 2016
Part II. Security and development, 2016
6. Sustaining peace and sustainable development in dangerous places:
Marina Caparini and Gary Milante: Overview
Gary Milante: I. Peace and development
Marina Caparini and Gary Milante: II. Sustaining peace: the new overarching United Nations framework
Emma Bjertén Günther, Marina Caparini and Yeonju Jung: III. Delivering as one: other multilateral mechanisms for sustaining peace
Marina Caparini and Gary Milante: IV. The peace being sustained: operationalizing prevention
7. Coping with crises: forced displacement in fragile contexts:
Lina Grip: Overview
Lina Grip: I. Introduction
Lina Grip: II. Displacement dangers
Lina Grip: III. Crises of forced displacement in fragile contexts: key developments in 2016
Lina Grip: IV. United Nations and regional responses to displacement crises
Lina Grip: V. Conclusions
8. Exploring the links between climate change and violent conflict:
Malin Mobjörk: Overview
Malin Mobjörk: I. Exploring the climateconflict link: the case of East Africa
Michael Brzoska: II. Weather-related disasters and violent conflict
Part III. Military spending and armaments, 2016
9. Military expenditure:
Nan Tian: Overview
Nan Tian, Aude Fleurant, Pieter D. Wezeman and Siemon T. Wezeman: I. Global developments in military expenditure
Aude Fleurant: II. US military expenditure
Nan Tian: III. Oil price shocks and military expenditure
Sam Perlo-Freeman: IV. The backdating of SIPRI military expenditure data
Noel Kelly, Diego Lopes, and Nan Tian: V. Transparency in military expenditure data
10. International arms transfers and developments in arms production:
Siemon T. Wezeman and Aude Fleurant: Overview
Siemon T. Wezeman, Aude Fleurant, Nan Tian and Pieter D. Wezeman: I. Developments in arms transfers, 2016
Siemon T. Wezeman: II. Arms transfers as military aid
Mark Bromley and Siemon T. Wezeman: III. Transparency in arms transfers
Mark Bromley and Pieter Wezeman: IV. The financial value of states arms exports
Aude Fleurant and Nan Tian: V. Arms production and military services
11. World nuclear forces:
Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen: Overview
Hans M. Kristensen: I. US nuclear forces
Hans M. Kristensen: II. Russian nuclear forces
Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen: III. British nuclear forces
Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen: IV. French nuclear forces
Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen: V. Chinese nuclear forces
Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen: VI. Indian nuclear forces
Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen: VII. Pakistani nuclear forces
Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen: VIII. Israeli nuclear forces
Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen: IX. North Koreas military nuclear capabilities
Alexander Glaser and Zia Mian: X. Global stocks and production of fissile materials, 2016
Vitaly Fedchenko: XI. Nuclear explosions, 19452016
Part IV. Non-proliferation, arms control and disarmament, 2016
12. Nuclear disarmament, non-proliferation and arms control:
Tariq Rauf and Shannon N. Kile: Overview
Shannon N. Kile: I. RussianUS nuclear arms control and disarmament
Shannon N. Kile: II. International cooperation to enhance nuclear security
Tariq Rauf: III. Initiatives and multilateral treaties on nuclear disarmament, non-proliferation and arms control
Tariq Rauf: IV. Implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action in Iran
13. Chemical and biological security threats:
John Hart: Overview
John Hart: I. Achieving clarity on Syrian chemical weapon declarations to the 513OPCW and continued chemical weapon use allegations
John Hart: II. Allegations of use of chemical weapons in Iraq
John Hart: III. Chemical arms control and disarmament
John Hart: IV. Biological arms control
14. Conventional arms control:
Ian Davis: Overview
Ian Anthony: I. International humanitarian law: ICRC guidance and its application in urban warfare
Ian Davis, Vincent Boulanin, Mark Bromley, Lina Grip And Maaike Verbruggen: II. Humanitarian arms control regimes: key developments in 2016
Ian Anthony: III. A relaunch of conventional arms control in Europe?
15. Dual-use and arms trade controls:
Sibylle Bauer: Overview
Mark Bromley: I. The Arms Trade Treaty
Mark Bromley, Noel Kelly and Pieter D. Wezeman: II. Multilateral embargoes on arms and dual-use items
Sibylle Bauer and Giovanna Maletta: III. The export control regimes
Sibylle Bauer and Mark Bromley: IV. Developments in EU dual-use and arms trade controls
Mark Bromley: V. Human rights, the European Union and dual-use export controls