Engineering Risk in Natural Resources Management

Systems engineering of natural resources under changing physical conditions: A framework for reliability and risk.- Systems engineering of natural resources under changing physical conditions: State of the art in systems modeling.- Design and control of water systems under unsteady conditions.- Institutional analysis and water resources management.- Numerical models for the simulation of natural and anthropogenic climate variations.- Estimation of local climatic factors under climate change.- Synergistic effect of dam and forecast on flood probabilities: a Bayesian analysis.- Some reliability measures for nonstationary Markov chains.- Statistical detection of changes in geophysical series.- Risk analysis of hydrologic data: review and new developments concerning the Halphen distributions.- Estimation of extreme regional precipitation under climate change.- Detection and modeling of the impact of climatic change on river flows.- Sea level rise problems.- Climatic changes during the 20th century on the Laurentian Great lakes and their impacts on hydrologic regime.- Sediment yield and pollution from small watersheds under changing climatic conditions.- Water quality in coastal zones under variable climatic conditions.- Report of Panel 1: Global change, a statistical myth?.- Inference and decision under near ignorance conditions.- Design and control of water systems in presence of inflow scenarios.- Risk of extreme flood losses under uncertain physical conditions.- Sea level rise: A probabilistic design problem.- Quantitative analysis of uncertainties in water resources. Application for predicting the effects of changes.- Strategic decisions under nonstationary conditions: a stopping-control paradigm.- Report of Panel 2: When and how should we act?.- Managing water resources for adaptation to climate change.- The effects of climate change on storm surges.- Evaluating climate change impacts on the management of the Great Lakes of North America.- Water management in the Neste system.- Planning and management of water resources in the southwest of France in a dynamic physical, social and economic environment.- Balancing reservoir management and water conservation: Application to hydropower and irrigation.- Report of Panel 3: To act or not to act?.