Risks and Decisions for Conservation and Environmental Management
Seiten
2005
Cambridge University Press (Verlag)
978-0-521-54301-9 (ISBN)
Cambridge University Press (Verlag)
978-0-521-54301-9 (ISBN)
A comprehensive guide to conducting environmental risk assessments for students, researchers and professionals in ecology, conservation and resource management. Coverage includes the philosophy of uncertainty and human objectivity in risky situations. Consideration is also given to how both subjective beliefs and technical analysis can be used to make informed decisions.
This book outlines how to conduct a complete environmental risk assessment. The first part documents the psychology and philosophy of risk perception and assessment, introducing a taxonomy of uncertainty and the importance of context. It provides a critical examination of the use and abuse of expert judgement and goes on to outline approaches to hazard identification and subjective ranking that account for uncertainty and context. The second part of the book describes technical tools that can assist risk assessments to be transparent and internally consistent. These include interval arithmetic, ecotoxicological methods, logic trees and Monte Carlo simulation. These methods have an established place in risk assessments in many disciplines and their strengths and weaknesses are explored. The last part of the book outlines some new approaches, including p-bounds and information-gap theory, and describes how quantitative and subjective assessments can be used to make transparent decisions.
This book outlines how to conduct a complete environmental risk assessment. The first part documents the psychology and philosophy of risk perception and assessment, introducing a taxonomy of uncertainty and the importance of context. It provides a critical examination of the use and abuse of expert judgement and goes on to outline approaches to hazard identification and subjective ranking that account for uncertainty and context. The second part of the book describes technical tools that can assist risk assessments to be transparent and internally consistent. These include interval arithmetic, ecotoxicological methods, logic trees and Monte Carlo simulation. These methods have an established place in risk assessments in many disciplines and their strengths and weaknesses are explored. The last part of the book outlines some new approaches, including p-bounds and information-gap theory, and describes how quantitative and subjective assessments can be used to make transparent decisions.
Mark Burgman is Professor of Environmental Science in the University of Melbourne, Australia.
Preface; Acknowledgements; 1. Values, history and perception; 2. Kinds of uncertainty; 3. Conventions and the risk management cycle; 4. Experts, stakeholders and elicitation; 5. Conceptual models and hazard assessment; 6. Risk ranking; 7. Ecotoxicology; 8. Logic trees and decisions; 9. Defining and eliciting intervals; 10. Monte Carlo; 11. Inference, decisions, monitoring and updating; 12. Decisions and risk management; References; Index.
Erscheint lt. Verlag | 7.4.2005 |
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Reihe/Serie | Ecology, Biodiversity and Conservation |
Zusatzinfo | 50 Tables, unspecified; 1 Halftones, unspecified; 111 Line drawings, unspecified |
Verlagsort | Cambridge |
Sprache | englisch |
Maße | 152 x 227 mm |
Gewicht | 848 g |
Themenwelt | Naturwissenschaften ► Biologie ► Ökologie / Naturschutz |
Wirtschaft ► Betriebswirtschaft / Management | |
ISBN-10 | 0-521-54301-0 / 0521543010 |
ISBN-13 | 978-0-521-54301-9 / 9780521543019 |
Zustand | Neuware |
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