Renewable Energy: Forecasting and Risk Management (eBook)

Part I Renewable energy: modeling and forecasting.- Alain Bensoussan and Alexandre Brouste -Marginal Weibull diffusion model for wind speed modeling and short-term forecasting .- Bastien Alonzo, Riwal Plougonven, Mathilde Mougeot, Aurélie Fischer, Aurore Dupré, and Philippe Drobinski-From Numerical Weather Prediction outputs to accurate localsurface wind speed : statistical modeling and forecasts. - Mireille Bossy, Aurore Dupr´e, Philippe Drobinski, Laurent Violeau, and Christian Briard-Stochastic Lagrangian approach for wind farm simulation.- Jordi Badosa, Emmanuel Gobet, Maxime Grangereau and Daeyoung Kim-Day-ahead probabilistic forecast of solar irradiance: a Stochastic Differential Equation approach.- Mathilde Mougeot, Dominique Picard, Vincent Lefieux, Miranda Marchand-Homogeneous climate regions using learning algorithms.- Andrs Castrillejo, Jairo Cugliari, Fernando Massa, and Ignacio Ramirez- Electricity Demand Forecasting: the Uruguayan Case Eugene A. Feinberg and Jun Fei -A Flexible Mixed Additive-Multiplicative Model for Load Forecasting in a Smart Grid Setting.- Jérôme Collet and Michael Richard- A Generic Method for Density Forecasts Recalibration.- Part II Renewable energy: risk management.- Vera Silva, Miguel López-Botet Zulueta, Ye Wang, Paul Fourment,Timothee Hinchliffe, Alain Burtin, and Caroline Gatti-Bono-Technical and economic analysis of the European electricity system with 60% renewable energy sources.- Deschatre and Almut E. D. Veraart-A joint model for electricity spot prices and wind penetration with dependence in the Thomas.- James Cruise and Stan Zachary-The optimal control of storage for arbitrage and buffering, with energy applications.- Jérôme Collet, Olivier Féron, and Peter Tankov-Optimal management of a wind power plant with storage capacity.-References.