The Impact of Climatic Variations on Agriculture

I. The Impact of Climatic Variations on Agriculture: Introduction to the IIASA/UNEP Case Studies.- 1. The assessment of effects of climatic variations on agriculture: aims, methods and summary of results.- 2. The choice of first-order impact models.- 3. Development of climatic scenarios: A. From general circulation models.- 4. Development of climatic scenarios: B. Background to the instrumental record.- 5. A case study of the effects of CO2-induced climatic warming on forest growth and the forest sector: A. Productivity reactions of northern boreal forests.- 6. A case study of the effects of CO2-induced climatic warming on forest growth and the forest sector: B. Economic effects on the world’s forest sector.- II. Estimating Effects of Climatic Change on Agriculture in Saskatchewan, Canada.- 1. Introduction.- 2. The effects on the agroclimatic environment.- 3. The effects on potential for wind erosion of soil.- 4. The effects on spring wheat production.- 5. The effects on the farm and provincial economy.- 6. Conclusions and implications.- III. The Effects of Climatic Variations on Agriculture in Iceland.- 1. Introduction.- 2. The effects on agricultural potential.- 3. The effects on grass yield, and their implications for dairy farming.- 4. The effects on the carrying capacity of rangeland pastures.- 5. Implications for agricultural policy.- IV. The Effects of Climatic Variations on Agriculture in Finland.- 1. Introduction.- 2. The effects on barley yields.- 3. The effects on spring wheat yields.- 4. The effects on the profitability of crop husbandry.- 5. Conclusions and implications for policy.- V. The Effects of Climatic Variations on Agriculture in the Subarctic Zone of the USSR.- 1. Introduction.- 2. The effects on agriculture and environment in the Leningradregion.- 3. The effects on spring wheat yields in the Cherdyn region.- 4. Planned responses in agricultural management under a changing climate.- 5. Results and policy implications.- VI. The Effects of Climatic Variations on Agriculture in Japan.- 1. Introduction: the policy and planning issues.- 2. Development of the climatic scenarios.- 3. The effects on latitudinal shift of plant growth potential.- 4. The effects on altitudinal shift of rice yield and cultivable area in northern Japan.- 5. The effects on rice yields in Hokkaido.- 6. The effects on the Japanese rice market.- 7. The implications for agricultural policies and planning.