Evaluation of Quantification of Margins and Uncertainties Methodology for Assessing and Certifying the Reliability of the Nuclear Stockpile

Maintaining the capabilities of the nuclear weapons stockpile and performing the annual assessment for the stockpile's certification involves a wide range of processes, technologies, and expertise. An important and valuable framework helping to link those components is the quantification of margins and uncertainties (QMU) methodology.


In this book, the National Research Council evaluates:




how the national security labs were using QMU, including any significant differences among the three labs
its use in the annual assessment
whether the applications of QMU to assess the proposed reliable replacement warhead (RRW) could reduce the likelihood of resuming underground nuclear testing


This book presents an assessment of each of these issues and includes findings and recommendations to help guide laboratory and NNSA implementation and development of the QMU framework. It also serves as a guide for congressional oversight of those activities.


Table of Contents


Front Matter
Summary
1 Overview
2 Use of the QMU Methodology
3 QMU and the Annual Assessment Review
4 Comparison and Contrast of the Use of QMU
5 QMU and the RRW Program
Appendixes
Appendix A: A Probabilistic Risk Assessment Perspective of QMU
Appendix B: Committee Biographical Information
Appendix C: Glossary