Paradoxes in Probability Theory

Buch | Softcover
79 Seiten
2012
Springer (Verlag)
978-94-007-5139-2 (ISBN)

Lese- und Medienproben

Paradoxes in Probability Theory - William Eckhardt
69,54 inkl. MwSt
Paradoxes provide a vehicle for exposing misinterpretations and misapplications of accepted principles. for instance, startling claims concerning human destiny and the nature of reality are directly related to fallacious reasoning in a betting paradox, and a problem analyzed in philosophy journals is resolved by means of a computer program.​
Paradoxes provide a vehicle for exposing misinterpretations and misapplications of accepted principles. This book discusses seven paradoxes surrounding probability theory.  Some remain the focus of controversy; others have allegedly been solved, however the accepted solutions are demonstrably incorrect. Each paradox is shown to rest on one or more fallacies.  Instead of the esoteric, idiosyncratic, and untested methods that have been brought to bear on these problems, the book invokes uncontroversial probability principles, acceptable both to frequentists and subjectivists. The philosophical disputation inspired by these paradoxes is shown to be misguided and unnecessary; for instance, startling claims concerning human destiny and the nature of reality are directly related to fallacious reasoning in a betting paradox, and a problem analyzed in philosophy journals is resolved by means of a computer program.​

Introduction.- Chapter 1. The Seven Paradoxes.- Chapter 2. Doomsday!.- Chapter 3. The Betting Crowd.- Chapter 4. The Simulation Argument.- Chapter 5. Newcomb's Problem.- Chapter 6. The Open Box Game.- Chapter 7. The Hadron Collider Card Experiment.- Chapter 8. The Two-Envelopes Problem.- Chapter 9. Odds and Ends.- Epilogue. Anthropic Eden.​

Reihe/Serie SpringerBriefs in Philosophy
Zusatzinfo 5 Illustrations, black and white; XV, 79 p. 5 illus.
Verlagsort Dordrecht
Sprache englisch
Maße 155 x 235 mm
Themenwelt Geisteswissenschaften Philosophie Logik
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Wahrscheinlichkeit / Kombinatorik
Naturwissenschaften
Schlagworte Anthropic Fallacies • Betting Crowd Probability Theory • Doomsday Argument probability theory • Esoteric Methods • hadron collider card experiment probability theory • Idiosyncratic Methods • Misguided paradoxes • Newcomb's problem • Newcomb's Problem probability theory • Open box game probability theory • Paradoxes in Probability Theory • Paradoxes Probability theory • Prisoner's dilemma • Simulation Argument probability theory • Two envelopes probability theory
ISBN-10 94-007-5139-7 / 9400751397
ISBN-13 978-94-007-5139-2 / 9789400751392
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