Hydropower Economics (eBook)

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2007 | 2007
XII, 266 Seiten
Springer US (Verlag)
978-0-387-73027-1 (ISBN)

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Hydropower Economics - Finn R. Forsund
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There are few more urgent topics in today's world, so full of ecological uncertainty. Hydropower Economics uses various econometric measures to examine sustainable alternative energy sources. It kicks off by modeling hydropower, yes, but it does not end there. Forsund has extended his model to include thermal power and wind power, too - forms of alternative energy that are taking on an ever larger profile.


The state organisation responsible for coordinating the hydropower el- tricity system in Norway ("e;Samkjoringen"e;) contacted me in 1990 about the advanced plan for deregulating the electricity system, separating gene- tion, transmission, and distribution and introducing a wholesale market for electricity. It was felt that insights about the fundamental nature of running an electricity system based on hydropower was somewhat lacking within the team of academic economists engaged to write background reports by the Oil and Energy ministry responsible for driving the reform of the el- tricity system. When talking to engineers I was fascinated by the world of electricity, with its physical laws and weird concepts such as reactive power and el- tric phase angles. Externalities of hydraulic interdependence between river-based power stations and highly fluctuating loss and congestion - ternalities involved in a meshed transmission network had to be rec- nised. Furthermore, capturing all these elements required advanced mathematical methods of dynamic programming in a stochastic envir- ment. My conclusion was that a market design that neglected these aspects did it at its own peril. I predicted volatile prices coming out of a compe- tion between producers facing zero short-run variable costs and problems with investments coming forth sufficiently from a social perspective. However, I can safely say that my report had no impact whatsoever on the Norwegian electricity reform of 1991, that must be regarded, not the least by me, as being highly successful.

Preface 6
Contents 8
List of Common Variables 11
Chapter 1. Introduction 13
Background 13
The purpose of this book 16
Electricity 20
Hydropower 25
Environmental concerns 30
Chapter 2. Water as a Natural Resource 31
The basic hydropower model 31
Water as a non-renewable resource: Hotelling revisited 35
Several user groups 39
Chapter 3. Hydropower with Constraints 44
The variation of prices 44
Constraints in hydropower modelling 46
Optimal management with reservoir constraint 48
The bathtub diagram for two periods 53
The generation of price changes 56
Determining quantities 72
Chapter 4. Multiple Producers 78
Reservoir constraints 78
Hveding’s conjecture 82
Output constraints 88
Hydraulically coupled hydropower 96
Environmental restrictions 99
Chapter 5. Mix of Thermal and Hydropower Plants 105
Thermal plants 105
Social solution of mixed hydro and thermal capacity 114
Introducing a reservoir constraint 119
Optimal mix of hydro and thermal plants 121
A dynamic thermal problem 126
Chapter 6. Trade 131
Unconstrained trade 131
Constraints on trade 137
Trade between countries hydro and thermal 147
Chapter 7. Transmission 160
Engineering approach to transmission in economics 161
Modelling transmission for simple cases 165
A general transmission model 178
Network impact on utilisation of hydropower 186
Chapter 8. Market Power 189
Monopoly 190
Monopoly and trade 195
Monopoly with reservoir constraints 201
Monopoly with trade and reservoir constraints 207
Monopoly with hydro and thermal plants 210
Dominant firm with a competitive fringe 213
Oligopolistic markets 219
Chapter 9. Uncertainty 220
The general problem 220
A simplified two-period approach 222
Generalisation to T periods 232
Hydro and thermal 238
Monopoly revisited 241
Concluding comments 244
Chapter 10. Summary and Conclusions 246
Main drivers of price change 246
Competitive electricity markets 249
Market designs 252
Investments 254
References 257
Author Index 262
Subject Index 263

Erscheint lt. Verlag 19.9.2007
Reihe/Serie International Series in Operations Research & Management Science
International Series in Operations Research & Management Science
Zusatzinfo XII, 266 p. 65 illus.
Verlagsort New York
Sprache englisch
Themenwelt Naturwissenschaften Biologie Ökologie / Naturschutz
Naturwissenschaften Geowissenschaften Hydrologie / Ozeanografie
Naturwissenschaften Physik / Astronomie
Technik Elektrotechnik / Energietechnik
Technik Umwelttechnik / Biotechnologie
Wirtschaft Betriebswirtschaft / Management Planung / Organisation
Wirtschaft Betriebswirtschaft / Management Unternehmensführung / Management
Wirtschaft Volkswirtschaftslehre
Schlagworte alternate energy sources • electricity • hydropower • linear optimization • Modeling • Monopoly • Nonlinear Optimization • Optimization • reservoir • Water Policy • water value • Wind
ISBN-10 0-387-73027-3 / 0387730273
ISBN-13 978-0-387-73027-1 / 9780387730271
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