COVID-19 Pandemic Dynamics - Igor Nesteruk

COVID-19 Pandemic Dynamics

Mathematical Simulations

(Autor)

Buch | Softcover
172 Seiten
2022 | 1st ed. 2021
Springer Verlag, Singapore
978-981-336-418-9 (ISBN)
139,09 inkl. MwSt
This book highlights the estimate of epidemic characteristics for different countries/regions in the world with the use of known SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) model for the dynamics of the epidemic, the known exact solution of the linear differential equations and statistical approach developed before. The COVID-19 pandemic is of great interest to researchers due to its high mortality and a negative impact to the world economy. Correct simulation of the pandemic dynamics needs complicated mathematical models and many efforts for unknown parameters identification. The simple method of detection of the new pandemic wave is proposed and SIR model generalized. The hidden periods, epidemic durations, final numbers of cases, the effective reproduction numbers and probabilities of meeting an infected person are presented for countries like USA, Germany, UK, the Republic of Korea, Italy, Spain, France, the Republic of Moldova, Ukraine, and for the world. The presented information is useful to regulate the quarantine activities and to predict the medical and economic consequences of different/future pandemics. 

Dr. Igor Nesteruk is Leading Researcher at the Institute of Hydromechanics, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, and Head of Laboratory of Biomedical Electronics at Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute. His main research interests are inverse non-steady problems of fluid mechanics, supercavitation, flow control, biomedical signal processing and mathematical simulations of infectious diseases.

Introduction.- Data used for calculations, comparisons and verifications.- Classical SIR model and the exact solution of differential equations.- Results of SIR simulation for the pandemic dynamics in different countries and regions.- Procedures of the parameter identification for the waves of epidemics.- Conclusions.

Erscheinungsdatum
Zusatzinfo 46 Illustrations, color; 31 Illustrations, black and white; XII, 172 p. 77 illus., 46 illus. in color.
Verlagsort Singapore
Sprache englisch
Maße 155 x 235 mm
Themenwelt Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Angewandte Mathematik
Studium Querschnittsbereiche Prävention / Gesundheitsförderung
Naturwissenschaften Physik / Astronomie Allgemeines / Lexika
Naturwissenschaften Physik / Astronomie Theoretische Physik
Naturwissenschaften Physik / Astronomie Thermodynamik
Schlagworte CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC • Covid-19 pandemic • Differential Equations • infectious disease • parameter identification • SIR Model • Statistical Methods • Wave of epidemic
ISBN-10 981-336-418-1 / 9813364181
ISBN-13 978-981-336-418-9 / 9789813364189
Zustand Neuware
Informationen gemäß Produktsicherheitsverordnung (GPSR)
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