The Cointegrated VAR Model

Katarina Juselius obtained her Ph.D from the Swedish School of Economics, Helsinki in 1983. In 1985 she became Associate Professor at the University of Copenhagen and in 1996 she was appointed the Chair of Macroeconometrics. She has published extensively on the methodology of Cointegrated VAR Models with applications to Monetary Transmission Mechanisms, Policy Control Rules, Price Linkages, Wage-, Price, and Unemployment Dynamics. She has been the leader of numerous research projects, and has been on the editorial boards of the International Journal of Forecasting, the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, and is presently serving the Journal of Economic Methodology. In 1995-98 she was a member of the Danish Social Sciences Research Council and is presently a member of the EUROCORES committee at the European Science Foundation.

BRIDGING ECONOMICS AND ECONOMETRICS ; 1. Introduction ; 2. Models and Relations in Economics and Econometrics ; 3. The Probability Approach in Econometrics and the VAR ; SPECIFYING THE VAR MODEL ; 4. The Unrestricted VAR ; 5. The Cointegrated VAR Model ; 6. Deterministic Components in the I(1) Model ; 7. Estimation in the I(1) Model ; 8. Determination of Cointegration Rank ; TESTING HYPOTHESES ON COINTEGRATION ; 9. Recursive Tests of Constancy ; 10. Testing Restrictions on Beta ; 11. Testing Restrictions on Alpha ; IDENTIFICATION ; 12. Identification of the Long-Run Structure ; 13. Identification of the Short-Run Structure ; 14. Identification of Common Trends ; 15. Identification of a Structural MA Model ; THE I(2) MODEL ; 16. Analyzing I(2) Data with the I(1) Model ; 17. The I(2) Model: specification and estimation ; 18. Testing Hypotheses in the I(2) Model ; A METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH ; 19. Specific-to-General and General-to-Specific ; 20. Wage, Price, and Unemployment Dynamics ; 21. Foreign Transmission Effects: Denmark versus Germany ; 22. Collecting the Threads ; Appendix A: The Asymptotic Tables for Cointegration Rank