Food Dependency in the Middle East and North Africa Region (eBook)

The editors of this work are Chantal Le Mouël and Bertrand Schmitt   

Foreword Introduction: A fragile region notable for its growing dependence on agricultural imports; B. Schmitt & C. Le Mouël Chapter 1: Determinants of the growing food dependence (1961-2011); P. Marty, S. Manceron, C. Le Mouël, A. Forslund, M.-A. Caillaud & B. Schmitt 1. Food and agricultural demand: growing and changing in nature 2. Growth in agricultural production: limited by constraints affecting production factors 3. Growing need of agricultural imports 4. Imbalance between supply and demand: uncertainties for the future Chapter 2: By 2050, a possible strengthening of the regional dependence on agricultural imports; A. Forslund, C. Le Mouël, S. Manceron, E. Marajo-Petitzon & B. Schmitt 1. In 2050, the need for land would still exceed availability 2. Growing recourse to agricultural imports 3. Agricultural labour productivity could deteriorate 4. By 2050, strengthening of import dependence, notably in case of accentuated effects of climate change Chapter 3: Brakes and levers to reduce the dependence on imports in the Middle East-North Africa region; C. Le Mouël, A. Forslund, E. Marajo-Petitzon, M.-A. Caillaud & B. Schmitt 1. Alternative hypotheses on food consumption often lead to increased imports 2. Hypotheses for more favourable development of domestic supply 3. The effects of halving losses and waste in agricultural products 4. Which levers for reducing import dependence of the Middle East-North Africa region? Conclusion; B. Schmitt & C. Le Mouël Bibliography Annex 1: The GlobAgri-Pluriagri model and database; A. Forslund, S. Manceron,  E. Marajo-Petitzon & C. Le Mouël Annex 2: The composition of the 36 products and 17 geographical zones in GlobAgri-Pluriagri