Quantifying Uncertainty in Subsurface Systems

Céline Scheidt is senior research engineer at Stanford University with 10 years of experience in this field. She is known for her work on uncertainty quantification using machine learning methods and has published several impactful papers in that area. She will be the keynote speaker of the next international Geostatistics congress. Lewis Li is 3rd year PhD student at Stanford University. He has published three papers, with three more in the pipeline. With an Electrical Engineering degree from Stanford University, he has considerable expertise in software engineering and in addressing computational challenges. Jef Caers is a world-leading expert in quantifying uncertainty in the subsurface, has closely worked on 100+ projects with a variety of industries in this area and has been leading the Stanford Center for Reservoir Forecasting for 15 years, he has been Professor at Stanford University for 19 years.

Preface vii

Authors xi

1. The Earth Resources Challenge 1

2. Decision Making Under Uncertainty 29

3. Data Science for Uncertainty Quantification 45

4. Sensitivity Analysis 107

5. Bayesianism 129

6. Geological Priors and Inversion 155

7. Bayesian Evidential Learning 193

8. Quantifying Uncertainty in Subsurface Systems 217

9. Software and Implementation 263

10. Outlook 267

Index 273