Risk Management in Architectural Design (eBook)

Preface 7
Acknowledgments 9
Introduction 11
Contents 13
Part I Theoretical Framework: The Management of Risks Related to Operation and Maintenance Objectives in Architectural Design 16
1 The Risks of Decisions with Long-Term Impacts Within the Building Process. The Uncertainty in Design Over a Set of Objectives for the Operation and Maintenance Phase 17
Abstract 17
1.1 Uncertainty Over a Framework of Objectives in Architectural Design: The Risks of Failure in Goals Achievement 18
1.2 Brief, Design and Operation-Management Phases. Relations Between Design Choices and Quality Over the Building's Lifetime 21
1.3 Learning by Using. The Role of Feedback Information to Improve the Effectiveness of Brief and Design in Managing the Risks Over the Long Term 23
References 25
Standards and Laws 26
2 Uncertainty, Risk and Risk Management 27
Abstract 27
2.1 Certainty, Uncertainty and Risk 27
2.2 Risk Management Process and Current Contexts Where It Is Used to Reduce Uncertainty 29
2.3 Risk Assessment Techniques: Scope and Types 32
2.4 Predictive Risk Management and Risk Management Through Process Monitoring and Responding. The Control of Uncertainty in the Built Environment 33
References 36
Standards and Laws 37
3 Risk Management Through Process Monitoring: Reducing Uncertainty and Improving Risk Assessment Effectiveness Through Knowledge Gathering Over Time 38
Abstract 38
3.1 Monitoring and Reviewing: Risk Assessment Updating Over Time 38
3.2 Monitoring Techniques for Building Performances 40
3.3 Real-Time Monitoring and Responding 43
References 46
Standards and laws 46
Websites and documents available online 46
Part II Methodological Experimentation: Proposal of a Dashboard for Risk Management in Design Through a Predictive Approach 47
4 Risks Over Objectiveness in Building Process 48
Abstract 48
4.1 Risks Over Objectives in Building Process: From Brief and Design to Operation and Maintenance 48
4.2 Proposal of Dashboard Based on Tools and Procedures to Identify, Assess and Evaluate the Risks Over Objectives 52
4.3 Tool to Evaluate the Maintainability of Elements 56
4.4 A Set of Spreadsheets, to Evaluate the Uncertainty of Maintainability for All Technological Requirements of Each Given Typological Configuration of Technical Elements 60
References 65
Standards and Laws 66
5 A Dashboard for Design Risk Management. Proposal for a Risk-Based Design Support and Lifelong Feedback Gathering System 67
Abstract 67
5.1 Risk-Based Design Support and Lifelong Monitoring Tool: Framework 67
5.1.1 Risk Assessment and Treatment 68
5.1.2 Risk Reviewing Through Feedback Information 68
5.2 Risk Assessment: A Risk-Based Design Support 69
5.2.1 Risk Identification 70
5.2.2 Risk Analysis 70
5.2.3 Procedure for Estimate the Uncertainty Around Technical Requirements 71
5.2.4 Evaluation of the Maintainability of the Element 73
5.2.5 Comparison Between Maintainability Require from Technological Requirements and the Actual Maintainability of Elements 74
5.2.6 Estimation of the Uncertainty Around the Ability of an Element to Keep the Satisfaction of Its Technological Requirements Over Time 75
5.2.7 Procedure for Estimate the Uncertainty Around User Requirements 78
5.2.8 Identification of All Elements, and Relative Technological Requirements, Involved with a User Requirement 79
5.2.9 Definition of Conditions to Run the Monte Carlo Simulation 80
5.2.10 Estimation of the Level of Uncertainty Around the User Requirement Through Simulations 82
5.2.11 Risk Evaluations and Treatment 82
5.3 Risk Reviewing Through Feedback Information: Proposal of a Method to Gather Real Time Information for Correcting Previsions and Improving Future Design 84
Part III Applications: Tests on Case Studies 87
6 Application of the Dashboard for Risk Management: The Case Study of Two Buildings of Worship 88
Abstract 88
6.1 The Objectives of the Italian Council of Bishops for the Buildings of Worship 88
6.2 Case Studies: Criteria of Selection and Application of the Dashboard for Risk Management 90
6.2.1 Church 1 92
6.2.2 Church 2 95
6.3 Results of Applications 99
References 103
Websites and documents available online 103
7 Conclusions 105