Statistical Demography and Forecasting (eBook)

eBook Download: PDF
2006
XXVIII, 412 Seiten
Springer New York (Verlag)
978-0-387-28392-0 (ISBN)

Lese- und Medienproben

Statistical Demography and Forecasting -  Juha Alho,  Bruce Spencer
Systemvoraussetzungen
117,69 inkl. MwSt
  • Download sofort lieferbar
  • Zahlungsarten anzeigen

Provides a unique introduction to demographic problems in a familiar language.

Presents a unified statistical outlook on both classical methods of demography and recent developments.

Exercises are included to facilitate its classroom use.

Both authors have contributed extensively to statistical demography and served in advisory roles and as statistical consultants in the field.


Sustainability of pension systems, intergeneration fiscal equity under population aging, and accounting for health care benefits for future retirees are examples of problems that cannot be solved without understanding the nature of population forecasts and their uncertainty. Similarly, the accuracy of population estimates directly affects both the distributions of formula-based government allocations to sub-national units and the apportionment of political representation. The book develops the statistical foundation for addressing such issues. Areas covered include classical mathematical demography, event history methods, multi-state methods, stochastic population forecasting, sampling and census coverage, and decision theory. The methods are illustrated with empirical applications from Europe and the U.S.For statisticians the book provides a unique introduction to demographic problems in a familiar language. For demographers, actuaries, epidemiologists, and professionals in related fields, the book presents a unified statistical outlook on both classical methods of demography and recent developments. To facilitate its classroom use, exercises are included. Over half of the book is readily accessible to undergraduates, but more maturity may be required to benefit fully from the complete text. Knowledge of differential and integral calculus, matrix algebra, basic probability theory, and regression analysis is assumed.Juha M. Alho is Professor of Statistics, University of Joensuu, Finland, and Bruce D. Spencer is Professor of Statistics and Faculty Fellow at the Institute for Policy Research, Northwestern University. Both have contributed extensively to statistical demography and served in advisory roles and as statistical consultants in the field.

Sources of Demographic Data.- Sampling Designs and Inference.- Waiting Times and Their Statistical Estimation.- Regression Models for Counts and Survival.- Multistate Models and Cohort-Component Book-Keeping.- Approaches to Forecasting Demographic Rates.- Uncertainty in Demographic Forecasts: Concepts, Issues, and Evidence.- Statistical Propagation of Error in Forecasting.- Errors in Census Numbers.- Financial Applications.- Decision Analysis and Small Area Estimates.

Erscheint lt. Verlag 27.5.2006
Reihe/Serie Springer Series in Statistics
Springer Series in Statistics
Zusatzinfo XXVIII, 412 p. 34 illus.
Verlagsort New York
Sprache englisch
Themenwelt Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Statistik
Studium Querschnittsbereiche Epidemiologie / Med. Biometrie
Sozialwissenschaften Politik / Verwaltung
Sozialwissenschaften Soziologie Empirische Sozialforschung
Sozialwissenschaften Soziologie Spezielle Soziologien
Technik
Schlagworte Census • demographic rates • Demography • Probability Theory • Regression Analysis • Statistics
ISBN-10 0-387-28392-7 / 0387283927
ISBN-13 978-0-387-28392-0 / 9780387283920
Haben Sie eine Frage zum Produkt?
PDFPDF (Wasserzeichen)
Größe: 3,1 MB

DRM: Digitales Wasserzeichen
Dieses eBook enthält ein digitales Wasser­zeichen und ist damit für Sie persona­lisiert. Bei einer missbräuch­lichen Weiter­gabe des eBooks an Dritte ist eine Rück­ver­folgung an die Quelle möglich.

Dateiformat: PDF (Portable Document Format)
Mit einem festen Seiten­layout eignet sich die PDF besonders für Fach­bücher mit Spalten, Tabellen und Abbild­ungen. Eine PDF kann auf fast allen Geräten ange­zeigt werden, ist aber für kleine Displays (Smart­phone, eReader) nur einge­schränkt geeignet.

Systemvoraussetzungen:
PC/Mac: Mit einem PC oder Mac können Sie dieses eBook lesen. Sie benötigen dafür einen PDF-Viewer - z.B. den Adobe Reader oder Adobe Digital Editions.
eReader: Dieses eBook kann mit (fast) allen eBook-Readern gelesen werden. Mit dem amazon-Kindle ist es aber nicht kompatibel.
Smartphone/Tablet: Egal ob Apple oder Android, dieses eBook können Sie lesen. Sie benötigen dafür einen PDF-Viewer - z.B. die kostenlose Adobe Digital Editions-App.

Buying eBooks from abroad
For tax law reasons we can sell eBooks just within Germany and Switzerland. Regrettably we cannot fulfill eBook-orders from other countries.

Mehr entdecken
aus dem Bereich