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The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap (eBook)

A Hazardous Road for the World Economy

(Autor)

eBook Download: EPUB
2014
352 Seiten
John Wiley & Sons (Verlag)
978-1-119-02817-8 (ISBN)
Systemvoraussetzungen
26,99 inkl. MwSt
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Compare global experiences during the balance sheet recession
and find out what is needed for a full recovery

The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap
details the many hidden dangers remaining as the world slowly
recovers from the balance sheet recession of 2008. Author and
leading economist Richard Koo explains the unique political and
economic pitfalls that stand in the way of recovery from this rare
type of recession that was largely overlooked by economists. Koo
anticipated the current predicament in the West long before others
and issued warnings in his previous books: Balance Sheet
Recession and The Holy Grail of Macroeconomics. This new
book illustrates how history is repeating itself in Europe while
the United States, which learnt from the Japanese experience, is
doing better by avoiding the fiscal cliff. However, because of the
liberal dosage of quantitative easing already implemented, the
United States, the United Kingdom, and Japan may face a treacherous
path to normalcy in what Koo calls the QE Trap. He argues that it
is necessary to understand balance sheet recession in order to
resolve the Eurozone crisis, particularly the competitiveness
problems. Koo issues warnings against those who are too ready to
argue for structural reforms when the problems are actually with
balance sheets. He re-examines Japan's two decades of experiences
with this rare recession and offers an insider view on the
Abenomics. On China, readers will gain a very different historical
perspective as Koo argues that western commentators have forgotten
their own history when they talk about the re-balancing of the
Chinese economy.

* Learn from Japan which experienced the same predicament
afflicting the West fifteen years earlier

* Discover how unwinding of quantitative easing will affect the
United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, as well as the emerging
world

* Examine solutions to the Eurozone problems caused by two
balance sheet recessions eight years apart

* Gain insight into China's problems from the West's own
experiences with urbanisation

Koo, who developed the concept of balance sheet recession based
on Japan's experience, took the revolution in macroeconomics
started by John Maynard Keynes in 1936 to a new height. The
Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap offers the
world cure for balance sheet recession.

RICHARD C. KOO is the Chief Economist of Nomura Research Institute, a research arm of Nomura Securities, the leading securities house in Japan. Best known for developing the concept of balance sheet recession, which is now used widely around the world, he has also advised successive prime ministers on how best to deal with Japan's economic and banking problems. Consistently voted as one of the most reliable economists by Japanese market participants for over a decade, he was a Doctoral Fellow of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and an economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York prior to joining Nomura.

Praise for The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap

"Richard Koo has been a pioneer in recasting macroeconomics for the current era of financial crisis and potential deflation. This book presents his latest thinking in a clear and powerful way. Agree or disagree his work deserves close study if the next decade in the industrial world is going to be better than the last."
--Lawrence Summers, President Emeritus and Charles W. Eliot University Professor, Harvard University; former U.S. Secretary of the Treasury

"This is an important, stimulating, exciting and timely book. Guided by the ideas in this book, growing numbers of experts are appreciating the parallels between the current world-wide crisis and the crisis Japan experienced 15 years ago. The basic insight - that in the presence of persistent liabilities, the private sector minimizes debt - is one that needs to be fully appreciated in order for appropriate policies to be devised. This is a must-read for all those seeking to respond to the current economic malaise."
--Dennis J. Snower, President, Kiel Institute for the World Economy; Professor of Economics, Christian-Alberchts University, Kiel

"Koo's The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap provides the most insightful guide to current macroeconomic policy available today. Koo's concept of 'balance sheet recession' adds depth and detail to observations of the 'liquidity trap' and 'zero lower bound' of interest rates. He explains what needs to be done now and how long it could take. Everyone concerned with macroeconomic policy needs to read this analysis to learn how the world economy can be revived."
--Peter Temin, Elisha Gray II Professor Emeritus of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

"I have always liked the Richard Koo style - succinct theories, razor-sharp points, self-sustaining logic, and, more importantly, a set of workable solutions. It's definitely a worthy read."
--Gao Xiqing, Professor, School of Law, Tsinghua University; former Vice Chairman and President, China Investment Corporation

"In the wake of the financial crisis of 2008, governments and financial institutions have instituted a wide range of changes in such areas as risk management, regulation, market organization, and fiscal and monetary policy. Unfortunately, however, these measures have suffered from a lack of a unified recognition of the fundamental problem. In a clear, engaging and penetrating way, Richard Koo has diagnosed the core nature of the challenge and the appropriate response. The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap is an essential guide for anyone interested in the future of the global economy."
--Jeffrey E. Garten, Juan Trippe professor of international trade and finance and former Dean, Yale School of Management; former Undersecretary of Commerce

"When the history of this depression is written, policymakers who ignore Koo's finding will be judged harshly for imposing unnecessary suffering on their societies."
--Richard Duncan, Author, The Dollar Crisis

Erscheint lt. Verlag 16.1.2015
Sprache englisch
Themenwelt Wirtschaft Volkswirtschaftslehre Makroökonomie
Schlagworte Economics • International Economics & Trade • Internationale Ökonomie u. internationaler Handel • Macroeconomics • Makroökonomie • Volkswirtschaftslehre
ISBN-10 1-119-02817-5 / 1119028175
ISBN-13 978-1-119-02817-8 / 9781119028178
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