New Space Race: China vs. USA (eBook)

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2010 | 2010
256 Seiten
Praxis (Verlag)
978-1-4419-0880-3 (ISBN)

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New Space Race: China vs. USA -  Erik Seedhouse
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The world's most populous nation views space as an asset, not only from a technological and commercial perspective but also from a political one. The repercussions of this ideology already extend far beyond Washington. China vs. the United States explores future Chinese aspirations in space and the implications of a looming space race.

Dr. Seedhouse provides background information on the fifteen-year history of the China National Space Administration and its long list of accomplishments. Sino-U.S. technological and commercial interests in space are discussed, including their interest in encouraging a potential space race. The national security objectives of the U.S. and China are also examined.


The world's most populous nation views space as an asset, not only from a technological and commercial perspective, but also from a political and militaristic one. The repercussions of this ideology already extend far beyond Washington. China vs. United States offers a glimpse of future Chinese aspirations in space and the politico-militaristic implications of a looming space race, and explains why an interplanetary spaceship called the Tsien Hsue Shen might one day travel to the outer planets. Until China successfully launched taikonauts into orbit, China's space program had attracted little international attention. The book opens with an analysis of the short fifteen-year history of the China National Space Administration and its long list of accomplishments. Chapter 2 assesses Sino-U.S. technological and commercial interests in space and their implications in fuelling a potential space race. The national security objectives of the U.S. and China are examined, showing how their intentions are increasingly leading to the military integration of space technologies. Chapter 3 describes China's anxieties about U.S. space power, its obsession with national prestige, and how manned spaceflight is viewed as a crucial element to sustain the legitimacy of the Communist Party. China is currently focusing on similar goals to those of NASA's Constellation Program - lunar and Mars exploration. The following chapter examines the ambitious plans of both nations, and evaluates whether China's bold goal of landing taikonauts on the Moon by 2020 is matched by the necessary capability. In Chapter 5 Dr Seedhouse describes the space hardware being developed by the U.S. and China and the strides taken by China in its attempt to match the technological capability of the U.S. The following chapter provides an overview of China's introductory manned spaceflights and shows how, despite a lack of experience, the Chinese may soon be in a position to challenge the U.S. in a race to the Moon. In Chapter 7, the author discusses how China's manned space program can boost the country's international prestige and also examines the notion of manned spaceflight as a risky way to boost national status and the potential implications of a disaster akin to Challenger and Columbia.Chapter 8 addresses the questions of alliances and cooperation between NASA and ESA and China and Russia, or, alternatively, the U.S. and China pursuing their space ambitions alone. The implications of each way forward in the context of a looming competition in space are considered. Chapter 9 discusses the repercussions of a Chinese space program overtaking NASA and whether the U.S. has the political will to advance its own space program to prevent its position as sole space superpower being usurped. Given the mutual suspicions existing in both countries, it is perhaps inevitable that Washington and Beijing are on a collision course in space. The final chapter describes the implications of such a confrontation and discusses what, if anything, can be done to avert a new space race.

Table of contents 
5 
Preface 
10 
Acknowledgments 
13 
About the author 
14 
Figures 
16 
Tables 
19 
Panels 
21 
Abbreviations 
22 
Section I High Frontier Politics 27
1.Rising dragon 
28 
THE WHY AND HOW OF CHINA'S LONG MARCH INTO SPACE 
28 
THE WHY 
28 
China's motivation 
30 
Redressing the balance 
30 
International prestige 
32 
Nationalism 
32 
Economy 
33 
Scientific and technological advancement 
34 
Prolitical progression 
34 
International relations 
35 
Social and cultural 
35 
The strategic high ground 
36 
The real why of China's spaceflight program 
37 
THE HOW 
37 
The Mao Zedong era 
37 
Tsien Hsue-shen: the father of China's space program 
38 
The route to China's first manned space program 
38 
Dongfanghong-1 
40 
Deng Xiaoping's e 
40 
Developing the Long March launch vehicle 
40 
Setbacks 
40 
Project 921 
41 
Project 921 hardware acwuisition 
42 
Debut of the Shenzhou capsule 
42 
Astronaut training 
42 
Unmanned missions 
44 
Manned missions 
45 
SUMMARY 
46 
REFERENCES 
47 
2 US and Chinese space policy 
48 
THE CONDUCT OF NATIONAL SPACE ACTIVITIES IN THE PURSUIT OF HIGH AMBITION 
48 
US SPACE POLICY 
48 
Principles of US space policy 
48 
Polycy goals and guidelines 
51 
The role of science and engineering 
51 
The problems of ITAR 
53 
National security space guidelines 55
Achieving national defense policy objectives 
55 
Civil space policy 
56 
Commercial space guidelines 
57 
International space cooperation 
60 
Space nuclear power 
60 
Radio frequency spectrum and orbit management and interference protection 
60 
Orbital debris 
61 
Analysis of US space policy 
62 
CHINESE SPACE POLICY 
64 
Overview of China's space policy 
65 
Forces influencing China's space policy 
65 
China's strategy 
66 
Five-Year plans 
66 
White Papers 
67 
Manned spaceflght 
70 
Science and technology 
70 
Satellite export 
71 
Cooperation 
71 
Economic effects 
72 
China's space policy analyzed 
72 
US and China's space strategies 
72 
REFERENCES 73
Section II Dark Arena 74
3 Space warfare doctrine 
76 
FOUR SCHOOLS OF SPACE DOCTRINE 
77 
Sanctuary school 
78 
Survivability school 
79 
Domination 80
Control 
81 
ENFORCING A SPACE POWER DOCTRINE 
81 
Logistical structure 
81 
Manned capability 
82 
Space surveillance system 
82 
Space weapons 
82 
Organizational 
82 
SPACE WARFARE 84
Elements of space warfare 
84 
Space force support 
84 
Space force enhancement 
87 
Space control 
89 
Space force application 
90 
US SPACE WARFARE DOCTRINE 
90 
US objectives in space warfare 
90 
Politics of space superiority 
91 
The right to act 
92 
Protecting space assets 
92 
Avoiding arms control limitations 
93 
Other limitations 
94 
Obama's space defense plans 
95 
CHINA'S SPACE WARFARE DOCTRINE 
96 
Code red? China's anti-satellite test 
97 
China's counterspace doctrine 
98 
Asymmetric advantage 99
Defending the high ground 
100 
Deciphering intent 100
REFERENCES 
101 
4 Military space assets 
103 
SINO-US MILITARY SPACE CAPABILITIES 
103 
The first space war 
104 
What constitutes a space weapon? 
105 
Definition of a "space weapon" 
105 
Space weapon-enabling technologies 
107 
The battlefield in space 
107 
OVERVIEW OF SINO-US MILITARY SPACE CAPABILITIES 
108 
United States 
108 
China 
110 
CURRENT AND FUTURE CHINESE AND US SPACE WEAPONS 111
Space transportation 
111 
Us launch vehicle 
111 
China's launch vehicles 
116 
Satellite operations/Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) 
116 
Command, control and communications (C3) 
118 
Intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance 
119 
Environmental monitoring 
120 
Space control and force application 
120 
Microsatellites 
120 
FALCON 120
Parasitic satellites 
121 
Kinetic-energy weapons 
121 
Kinetic-energy anti-satellites 
122 
Ballistic missile defense system 
122 
Non-directional attacks 124
The Blackout Bomb 
124 
Directed-energy weapons 
127 
Assassin's Mace 
128 
Consequences of US and Chinese space weapons 
128 
The case for China 
129 
The case for the US 
129 
Arms race inevitability 
130 
REFERENCES 
130 
5 Exploding China's dreams 
131 
HOW THE US WILL MAINTAIN SPACE DOMINANCE 
131 
Pursuit of US space dominance 
132 
The Air Force Space Command Strategic Master Plan 132
Shaping the space environment 133
Us asymmetric advatage and vulnerability 
134 
Chinese counterspace reaction 
135 
Counterspace consequences 
136 
Consequence of counter-counterspace operations 
137 
WINNING AND LOSING A WAR IN SPACE 
138 
How China would lose a war in space 
138 
First strike 
138 
Geostationary satellites 
140 
Pre-emption 
140 
Consequences 
141 
How China would win a war in space 
141 
Pre-emption 
141 
Reactive satellite maneuver 
143 
The weakness of GPS 
143 
Cold reality of space 
143 
Commanding the futere 
144 
Onerous responsibility 
146 
REFERENCES 
147 
Section III The Second Space Race 
148 
6 Chinese and American space exploration programs 
153 
THE VISION FOR SPACE EXPLORATION 
153 
Constellation overview 
154 
Hardware 
154 
Realizing the VSE: commissioning the Exploration Systems Architecture Study 
155 
EXPLORATION SYSTEMS ARCHITECTURE STUDY CHARTER 
156 
Exploration Systems Architecture Study Ground Rules and Assumptions 
156 
Exploration Systems Architecture Study tasks 
157 
Mission architecture overview 157
Design Reference Missions overvew 
158 
DRM: transportation of astronauts to and from the ISS 
158 
DRM: transportation of unpressutized cargo to the ISS 
158 
DRM: Transportation of pressurized cargo to and from the ISS 
158 
DRM: manned lunar mission with cargo 
158 
DRM: cargo transportation to lunar surface 
159 
DRM: outpost mission with crew and cargo 
159 
THE CONSTELLATION PROGRAM 
160 
Rationale for returning to the Moon 
161 
Science 
161 
Technology 
162 
Exploration and exploitation 
162 
US motivations for realizing the vision 
162 
The columbia effect 
162 
The Chinese motive 
163 
Financial obstacles 
163 
The true cost of Orion and Ares 
163 
Reducing costs 
164 
Ares I schedule pressures 
164 
Orion/Are I schedule pressures 
164 
Test facilities 
165 
Technology and hardwar gaps 
165 
NASA's challenging transition 
166 
CHINA'S MANNED SPACEFLIGHT PROGRAM 
167 
Manned spaceflight philosophy 
167 
Review of China's manned space program 
168 
Future Five-Year Plans 
168 
Manned lunar mission 
168 
Lunar precursor missions 
169 
Tiangong mission sequence 
169 
Mission timelines 
170 
Long March-5 
170 
China's lunar program 
170 
National rivalries 
173 
REFERENCES 
173 
7 Current and future hardware 
174 
NASA'S HARDWARE 
174 
Constellation hardware 
175 
Ares I and Ares V 
175 
AresI 175
Ares I nominal mission profile 
176 
Ares test flights 
177 
Ares I and V propulsion 
178 
Ares V 
179 
Ares V concept of operations 
179 
Ares V elements 
179 
Altair 
181 
Altair concept of operations 
181 
Orion 
183 
Orion systems and subsystems 
183 
Vehicle communication 
186 
Orion's avionics 
186 
Environmental control and life support system 
186 
Active thermal control system 
187 
Parachute and landing system 
187 
Service module 
187 
Spacecraft adapter 
189 
Launch Abort System 
189 
Orion abort modes 
189 
Space suit systems 
189 
CHINESE HARDWARE 
191 
Long March launch vehicles 
191 
Long March-2F 
191 
Design 
192 
Long March 2F|H 
192 
Long March-5 
194 
Long March-5 design 
194 
Vehicle configuration 
195 
Shenzhou spacecraft 
195 
Shenzhou modules 
196 
Orbital module 
197 
Re-entry module 
197 
Service module 
199 
Space suit systems 
201 
Orlan space suit 
201 
An assessment of China's current space technology capabilities 
202 
8 Manned spaceflight experience 
203 
CHINA'S MANNED SPACEFLIGHT EXPERTISE 
204 
Taikonauts and Yuhangyuans 
204 
Chronology of China's manned spaceflights 
204 
Shen 
204 
Shenzhou 5 crew 
206 
Shenzhou 5 flight 
207 
Political outcome 
207 
Shenzhou 6 
208 
Shenzhou 6 Crew 
209 
Shenzhou 6 Flight 
209 
Political outcome 
210 
Shenzhou 7 
211 
Shenzhou 7 crew 
211 
Flight 
212 
US MANNED SPACEFLIGHT EXPERTISE 
214 
A brief history of notable spaceflights 
214 
Project Mercury 
214 
Project Gemini 
215 
Apollo Program 
215 
Skylab 
216 
Apollo-Soyuz Test Project 
216 
Space Shuttle Program 
217 
Highlights of the Space Shuttle Program 
218 
International Space Station 10th anniversary 
222 
Anatomy of a Space Shuttle mission: STS-116 
222 
Future of American manned spaceflight 
224 
Section IV Why Cooperation Won't Work and Why a New Space Race is Looming 227
9 The case for and against collaboration with China 
228 
CHINA'S COLLABORATIVE EFFORTS 
229 
DANGERS OF COLLABORATION 
230 
China's ASAT test 
230 
The prohibitive cost of collaboration 
231 
Diplomacy in orbit has no effect on Earth 
231 
Technology transfer 
232 
BARRIERS TO COLLABORATION 
232 
Moral compromise 
232 
Lack of transparency 
233 
ALTERNATIVE FUTURES: COOPERATING WITH CHINA 
234 
Unpredicted outcomes 
234 
Avoiding a descent into space warfare 
234 
Space cooperation mechanisms 
235 
COLLABORATION REALITY 
236 
Sidelining China 
236 
US dominance in space 
236 
REFERENCES 
237 
10 The imminent space race 
238 
THE NEW MANNED SPACE RACE 
238 
How China's manned space program may fuel a new race 
239 
Acquiring soft power 
239 
Maintaining leadership in space 
239 
Predicting the future 
240 
China's near-future manned spaceflight activities 
240 
Planning for the new space race 
241 
Space race inevitability 
241 
THE NEW ARMS RACE IN SPACE 
242 
China's military space plans 
242 
The soft kill doctrine 
242 
Schriever I and the Taiwan issue 
243 
China's threat to the US 
244 
The case against an arms race in space 
245 
The case for an arms race in space 
245 
Financing the new race in space 
247 
Consequences of an arms race in space 
248 
Dawn of the new space race 
248 
REFERENCES 
249 
Appendix I 250
ORBITS 
250 
Geostationary orbits 
250 
Polar orbits 
250 
Sun synchronous orbits 
251 
Inclined orbits 
251 
Appendix II 
252 
OUTER SPACE TREATY 
252 
Article I 
252 
Article II 
253 
Article III 
253 
Article IV 253
Article V 
253 
Article VI 
253 
Appendix III 
257 
SPACE WEAPON TECHNOLOGY AND PROGRAMS 
257 
Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense 
257 
Common Aero Vehicle/Hypersonic Technology Vehicle 
257 
Defence Support Program 
258 
Demonstration of Autonomous Rendezvous Technology space vehicle 
258 
Escort satellites 
258 
Exoatmospheric Kill Vehicle 
258 
Experimental Spacecraft System-11 (XSS-11 
259 
Force Application and Launch from Continental United States (FALCON) 
259 
Ground-based Midcourse Defense system 
259 
Kinetic Enegry Interceptor 
260 
Lightweight Exoatmospheric Projectile Program 
260 
Miniature Kill Vehicle 
260 
Multiple Kill Vehicle Payload System 
261 
Nanosatellites/Miniature Spacecraft 
261 
Near Field Infrared Experiment 
261 
Operationally Responsive Spacelift 
261 
Orbital Boost Vehicle 
262 
Sea-based Midcourse Defense system 
262 
Small Launch Vehicle 262
Space-Based Infrared System 262
Space-Based Surveillance System 
263 
Space Tracking and Surveillance System 
263 
Standard Missile-3 
263 
Index 
265 

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Erscheint lt. Verlag 6.4.2010
Reihe/Serie Space Exploration
Springer Praxis Books
Zusatzinfo 256 p. 81 illus., 29 illus. in color.
Sprache englisch
Themenwelt Naturwissenschaften Physik / Astronomie Astronomie / Astrophysik
Technik Fahrzeugbau / Schiffbau
Technik Luft- / Raumfahrttechnik
Schlagworte Chang'e lunar orbiter • China space policy • Chinese Lunar Exploration Program • Chinese space exploration • Chinese Space Program • Chinese space technology • Chinese spacewalk • Sino-U.S. relations • Spaceflight
ISBN-10 1-4419-0880-3 / 1441908803
ISBN-13 978-1-4419-0880-3 / 9781441908803
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