Waltzing with Bears

Tom DeMarco und Timothy Lister sind Partner der Atlantic Systems Guild, einer Beratergruppe, die sich auf die komplexen Prozesse der Systementwicklung spezialisiert hat, mit besonderem Augenmerk auf die menschliche Dimension. Seit den 70er-Jahren haben sie zusammen zu Themen wie Management, Aufwandsschätzungen, Produktivität und Organisationkultur unterrichtet, Bücher verfasst und international beraten.

Prologue: The Ethics of Belief

PART I: WHY 7

1. Running Toward Risk
2. Risk Management Is Project Management for Adults
3. Denver International Airport Reconsidered
4. The Case for Risk Management

PART II: WHY NOT

5. The Case Against Risk Management
6. The Onus of Uncertainty
7. Luck

PART III: HOW

8. Quantifying Uncertainty
9. Mechanics of Risk Management
10. Risk Management Prescription
11. Back to Basics
12. Tools and Procedures
13. Core Risks of Software Projects
14. A Defined Process for Risk Discovery
15. Risk Management Dynamics
16. Incrementalism for Risk Mitigation
17. The Ultimate Risk Mitigation Strategy

138 PART IV: HOW MUCH

18. Value Quantification
19. Value Is Uncertain, Too
20. Sensitivity Analysis
21. Value Offsets Risk
22. Refining the Risk Management Prescription

PART V: WHETHER OR NOT

23. Test for Risk Management

Appendix A: The Ethics of Belief, Part 1

Appendix B: Risk Template

References

Index

"Running away from risk is a no-win proposition. Sometimes you come across a project that looks positively risk-free. In the past, you may have looked at such an endeavor as a 'slam dunk' and thanked your lucky stars to be given an easy project for a change. We've had the same reaction. What dummies we were. Those projects weren't worth doing at all." —from Chapter 1