Data Analysis and Related Applications, Volume 2

Konstantinos N. Zafeiris is Associate Professor of Demography within the Department of History and Ethnology at the Democritus University of Thrace, Greece. Christos H. Skiadas was the Founder and Director of Data Analysis and Forecasting and Former Vice-Rector at the Technical University of Crete, Greece. Yiannis Dimotikalis is Assistant Professor of Quantitative Methods within the Department of Management Science and Technology at the Hellenic Mediterranean University, Greece. Alex Karagrigoriou is Professor of Probability and Statistics, Director of the Laboratory of Statistics and Data Analysis and Actuarial-Financial Mathematics at the University of the Aegean, Greece. Christiana Karagrigoriou-Vonta is a (socio) linguist, translator and subtitler. She works as a freelance translator and editor of scientific texts and provides postproduction services (subtitling) for private companies and broadcasting corporations.

Preface xv
Konstantinos N ZAFEIRIS, Yiannis DIMOTIKALIS, Christos H SKIADAS, Alex KARAGRIGORIOU and Christiana KARAGRIGORIOU-VONTA

Part 1 1

Chapter 1 A Topological Clustering of Variables 3
Rafik ABDESSELAM

1.1 Introduction 3

1.2 Topological context 5

1.3 Topological clustering of variables -- selective review 9

1.4 Illustration on real data of simple examples 10

1.5 Conclusion 19

1.6 Appendix 20

1.7 References 23

Chapter 2 A New Regression Model for Count Compositions 25
Roberto ASCARI and Sonia MIGLIORATI

2.1 Introduction 25

2.1.1 Distributions for count vectors 26

2.2 Regression models and Bayesian inference 29

2.3 Simulation studies 30

2.4 Application to real electoral data 34

2.5 References 37

Chapter 3 Intergenerational Class Mobility in Greece with Evidence from EU-SILC 39
Glykeria STAMATOPOULOU, Maria SYMEONAKI and Catherine MICHALOPOULOU

3.1 Introduction 39

3.2 Data and methods 41

3.3 The trends of class mobility between different birth cohorts 45

3.4 Conclusion 52

3.5 References 52

Chapter 4 Capturing School-to-Work Transitions Using Data from the First European Graduate Survey 55
Maria SYMEONAKI, Glykeria STAMATOPOULOU and Dimitris PARSANOGLOU

4.1 Introduction 55

4.2 Data and methodology 57

4.3 Results 58

4.4 Conclusion 63

4.5 References 64

Chapter 5 A Cluster Analysis Approach for Identifying Precarious Workers 67
Maria SYMEONAKI, Glykeria STAMATOPOULOU and Dimitris PARSANOGLOU

5.1 Introduction 67

5.2 Data and methodology 68

5.3 Results 70

5.4 Conclusion and discussion 74

5.5 References 75

Chapter 6 American Option Pricing Under a Varying Economic Situation Using Semi-Markov Decision Process 77
Kouki TAKADA, Marko DIMITROV, Lu JIN and Ying NI

6.1 Introduction 77

6.2 American option pricing 79

6.3 Exercising strategies 80

6.4 Conclusion 89

6.5 References 89

Chapter 7 The Implementation of Hierarchical Classifications and Cochran’s Rule in the Analysis of Social Data 91
Aggeliki YFANTI and Catherine MICHALOPOULOU

7.1 Introduction 91

7.2 Methods 95

7.3 Results 96

7.4 Conclusion 101

7.5 References 102

Chapter 8 Dynamic Optimization with Tempered Stable Subordinators for Modeling River Hydraulics 105
Hidekazu YOSHIOKA and Yumi YOSHIOKA

8.1 Introduction 105

8.2 Mathematical model 108

8.3 Optimization problem 109

8.4 HJBI equation: formulation and solution 111

8.5 Concluding remarks 115

8.6 Acknowledgments 116

8.7 References 116

Part 2 119

Chapter 9 Predicting Event Counts in Event-Driven Clinical Trials Accounting for Cure and Ongoing Recruitment 121
Vladimir ANISIMOV, Stephen GORMLEY, Rosalind BAVERSTOCK and Cynthia KINEZA

9.1 Introduction 122

9.2 Modeling the process of event occurrence 123

9.3 Predicting event counts for patients at risk 127

9.4 Predicting event counts accounting for ongoing recruitment 129

9.5 Monte Carlo simulation 133

9.6 Software development 133

9.7 R package and implementation in a clinical trial 138

9.8 Conclusion 140

9.9 References 141

Chapter 10 Structural Modeling: An Application to the Evaluation of Ecosystem Practices at the Plot Level 143
Dominique DESBOIS

10.1 Introduction 143

10.2 Structural equation modeling using partial least squares 144

10.3 Material and method 150

10.4 Results and discussion 154

10.5 Conclusion 161

10.6 References 161

Chapter 11 Lean Management as an Improvement Factor in Health Services -- The Case of Venizeleio General Hospital of Crete, Greece 163
Eleni GENITSARIDI and George MATALLIOTAKIS

11.1 Introduction 164

11.2 Theoretical framework 164

11.3 Purpose of the research 168

11.4 Methodology 168

11.5 Research results 168

11.6 Conclusion 175

11.7 References 176

Chapter 12 Motivation and Professional Satisfaction of Medical and Nursing Staff of Primary Health Care Structures (Urban and Regional Health Centers) of the Prefecture of Heraklion, Under the Responsibility of the 7th Ministry 179
Mihalis KYRIAKAKIS and George MATALLIOTAKIS

12.1 Introduction 180

12.2 Methodology and material 180

12.3 Results 182

12.4 Discussion 194

12.5 Conclusion 196

12.6 References 197

Chapter 13 Developing a Bibliometric Quality Indicator for Journals Applied to the Field of Dentistry Pilar VALDERRAMA, Ana M AGUILERA and Mariano J VALDERRAMA

13.1 Introduction 199

13.2 Methodology 200

13.3 Discussion and conclusion 206

13.4 Acknowledgments 207

13.5 Appendix 208

13.6 References 210

Chapter 14 Statistical Process Monitoring Techniques for Covid-19 211
Emmanouil-Nektarios KALLIGERIS and Andreas MAKRIDES

14.1 Introduction 211

14.2 Materials and methods 212

14.3 Behavior of Covid-19 disease in the Mediterranean region 214

14.4 Conclusion 218

14.5 Acknowledgments 221

14.6 References 221

Part 3 223

Chapter 15 Increase of Retirement Age and Health State of Population in Czechia 225
Tomás FIALA, Jitka LANGHAMROVÁ and Jana VRABCOVÁ

15.1 Introduction 225

15.2 Data and methodological remarks 227

15.3 Statutory retirement age 228

15.4 Development of the state of health of population 230

15.5 Development of the state of health of population in productive and post-productive ages 232

15.6 Conclusion 234

15.7 Acknowledgment 235

15.8 References 235

Chapter 16 A Generalized Mean Under a Non-Regular Framework and Extreme Value Index Estimation 237
M IVETTE GOMES, Lígia HENRIQUES-RODRIGUES and Dinis PESTANA

16.1 Introduction 237

16.2 Preliminary results in the area of EVT for heavy tails and asymptotic behavior of MOp functionals 239

16.3 Finite-sample behavior of MOp functionals 243

16.4 A non-regular adaptive choice of p and k 247

16.5 Concluding remarks 248

16.6 References 248

Chapter 17 Demography and Policies in V4 Countries 251
Michaela KADLECOVÁ, Filip HON and Jitka LANGHAMROVÁ

17.1 Introduction 251

17.2 Demographic development in the V4 countries 252

17.3 Development of fertility and family policy 255

17.4 Pension systems of the Visegrad Four countries 258

17.5 Prediction of future development of V4 populations 261

17.6 Conclusion 265

17.7 Acknowledgments 266

17.8 References 267

Chapter 18 Decomposing Differences in Life Expectancy with and without Disability: The Case of Czechia 271
David MORÁVEK, Tomás BELOCH and Jitka LANGHAMROVÁ

18.1 Introduction 271

18.2 Methodology and data 273

18.3 Main results 276

18.4 Conclusion 281

18.5 Acknowledgments 282

18.6 References 283

Chapter 19 Assessing the Predictive Ability of Subjective Survival Probabilities 285
Apostolos PAPACHRISTOS and Georgia VERROPOULOU

19.1 Introduction 285

19.2 Methods 286

19.3 Results 292

19.4 Discussion 297

19.5 Conclusion 298

19.6 Acknowledgments 298

19.7 References 299

Chapter 20 Exploring Excess Mortality During the Covid-19 Pandemic with Seasonal ARIMA Models 303
Karl-Heinz JÖCKEL and Peter PFLAUMER

20.1 Introduction 304

20.2 Binomial mortality model and the empirical distribution of daily deaths in Germany 305

20.3 Non-seasonal ARIMA model for weekly data in Germany 307

20.4 Seasonal ARIMA models of weekly deaths for Spain, Germany and Sweden 311

20.5 Measuring excess mortality, especially in Spain, Germany and Sweden 322

20.6 Forecasting daily deaths in Germany 324

20.7 Conclusion 330

20.8 Appendix 331

20.8.1 Estimation results of the other age classes 331

20.8.2 Time series decomposition 332

20.9 References 334

Chapter 21 The Impact of Cesarean Section on Neonatal Mortality in Rural--Urban Divisions in a Region of Brazil 337
Carlos SANTOS and Neir PAES

21.1 Introduction 338

21.2 Materials and methods 339

21.2.1 Multilevel logistic model 340

21.3 Results and discussion 341

21.4 Conclusion 345

21.5 References 346

Chapter 22 Analysis of Alcohol Policy in Czechia: Estimation of Alcohol Policy Scale Compared to EU Countries 349
Kornélia SVACINOVÁ, Markéta Majerová PECHHOLDOVÁ and Jana VRABCOVÁ

22.1 Introduction 350

22.2 Literature review 351

22.3 Methods 352

22.4 Results 354

22.5 Discussion 359

22.6 Conclusion 360

22.7 Acknowledgment 360

22.8 References 360

Chapter 23 Alcohol-Related Mortality and Its Cause-Elimination in Life Tables in Selected European Countries and USA: An International Comparison 363
Jana VRABCOVÁ, Markéta Majerová PECHHOLDOVÁ and Kornélia SVACINOVÁ

23.1 Introduction 364

23.2 Data and methods 365

23.3 Alcohol consumption in European countries by the OECD 367

23.4 Czechia 369

23.5 Poland 369

23.6 Belarus 371

23.7 Russia 371

23.8 France 371

23.9 USA 371

23.10 Conclusion 374

23.11 Acknowledgment 375

23.12 References 375

Chapter 24 Labor Force Aging in the Czech Republic: The Role of Education and Economic Industry 377
Martina SIMKOVA and Jaroslav SIXTA

24.1 Introduction 377

24.2 The setting of the statutory retirement age 378

24.3 The economic status of elderly workers 379

24.4 The structure of working people by factors 380

24.5 The change in the number of workers 382

24.6 Conclusion 385

24.7 Acknowledgment 385

24.8 References 386

List of Authors 387

Index 393

Summary of Volume 1 395