Forecasting Financial & Economic Cycles
John Wiley & Sons Inc (Verlag)
978-0-471-84544-7 (ISBN)
Part handbook, Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles presents the full spectrum of statistical techniques used to measure cycles, trends, seasonal patterns, and other vital changes, offering you step--by--step guidance on applying a specific method and detailing its uses and limitations. It goes on to show how you can adapt particular techniques to assess, track, and predict: aeo Industry cycles----including an objective, tailor--made forecasting tool aeo Regional business cycles----including a survey of regional indicators aeo International business cycles----with an international business cycle chronology aeo Inflation cycles----plus "12 little--known facts" about this complex cycle aeo Financial cycles----covering credit, monetary, and interest rate cycles aeo Stock market cycles----with advice on achieving more disciplined trading Based on outstanding scholarship and years of practical experience, Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles will serve as an invaluable tool for practitioners like you whose decision--making----and profit margin----depend on accurately assessing todaya s often uncertain economic climate.
"Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles provides a lively survey of the many ways that cyclical economic activity has been dissected and analyzed. With this book, an astute reader may even be able to anticipate the next cyclical turn." ----Samuel D. Kahan Chief Economist Fuji Securities, Inc. "The definitive book on the most important and enduring feature of an often mist--bound economic landscape: the business cycle." ----Alfred L. Malabre, Jr. Economics Editor The Wall Street Journal "Niemira and Klein cover both the theory of economic cycles and methods for forecasting them. They provide one of the most comprehensive and current reviews of academic studies of economic cycles to be found anywhere." ----Anthony F. Herbst Professor of Finance The University of Texas at El Paso "This book succeeds as a comprehensive, balanced, and accessible treatment of fluctuations in economic and financial activity. It should prove useful to all those in industry and finance who wish to understand and analyze the trends and changes in the modern dynamic economy." ----Victor Zarnowitz Professor Emeritus of Economics and Finance University of Chicago
About the Authors MICHAEL P. NIEMIRA is Vice President and Economist at Mitsubishi Bank in New York. Previously, he worked as an economist at Paine Webber, Chemical Bank, and Merrill Lynch. He regularly writes for Cycles, the magazine of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles. His earlier work on industry cycles earned him the National Association of Business Economistsa A.G. Abramson award for an "outstanding contribution to the professional literature in the field of business economics." PHILIP A. KLEIN is Professor of Economics at Pennsylvania State University and is an Associate Editor of the International Journal of Forecasting. He has consulted on business cycle indicators for OECD, the EEC, and the World Bank. He has written widely on business cycles and has worked for many years with Geoffrey H. Moore. He is a Research Associate at the Center for International Business Cycle Research at Columbia University.
CYCLE TYPES AND THEORY. The Nature of Economic Cycles. Business Cycle Theory. MEASUREMENT METHODS. Measurement, Monitoring, and Forecasting Cycles. ECONOMIC HISTORY. U.S. Business Cycle History. APPLICATION OF CYCLE TECHNIQUES. Industry Cycles. Regional Business Cycles. International Business Cycles. The Inflation Cycle. Financial Cycles. Stock Market Cycles. CONCLUSION. The Future of the Business Cycle----Alive and Well but Different. Appendices. Notes. Index.
Erscheint lt. Verlag | 17.3.1994 |
---|---|
Verlagsort | New York |
Sprache | englisch |
Maße | 167 x 239 mm |
Gewicht | 1032 g |
Themenwelt | Wirtschaft ► Volkswirtschaftslehre ► Mikroökonomie |
Wirtschaft ► Volkswirtschaftslehre ► Ökonometrie | |
ISBN-10 | 0-471-84544-2 / 0471845442 |
ISBN-13 | 978-0-471-84544-7 / 9780471845447 |
Zustand | Neuware |
Haben Sie eine Frage zum Produkt? |
aus dem Bereich