Community Banking Strategies (eBook)

VINCENT BOBERSKI is a senior vice president and partner at Vining Sparks IBG, a broker/dealer for institutional investors. He was a senior vice president at FTN Financial and a managing director and head of fixed income research and strategies at RBC Capital Markets. Boberski began his career at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. He holds an MBA from the University of Chicago; an undergraduate degree from William & Mary, where he was a Wilson Scholar; and the CFA and PRM designations. Boberski is a regular contributor to CNBC and Bloomberg TV and radio. He speaks frequently at institutional investment conferences and is quoted often in the financial press. He lives in Memphis with his wife Anne, two children, and more dogs than are strictly necessary.

Preface.

Acknowledgments.

1 A New Era for Community Banking.

A Five-Forces Analysis of the Competitive Position of CommunityBanks.

Rivalry Within the Industry and New (Really Returning)Entrants.

The Bargaining Power of Suppliers and Customers.

The Threat of New Products.

Has the Community Banking Model Changed?

Winners and Losers.

The Revolution of 2008.

The Nationalization of Fannie, Freddie, and Poof! No MorePrivate Securitization.

The Loss of Wall Street Balance Sheets: Who Moved My PrimaryDealer?

The Collapse of the Consumer: An Escalade for EveryDriveway.

The Collapse of the Housing Market: Jingle Mail, Jingle Mail,Jingle All the Way.

A Look Forward.

Consolidation and Less Competition for Community Banks fromLarger Institutions.

Signifi cantly Improved Liability Pricing.

More Big Failures.

A Recession Deeper Than the Early 1980s.

Housing Prices Fail to Rise.

The Securitization Engine Fails to Restart.

The Treasury Effectively Becomes an Activist Shareholder.

Crowding Out by the Treasury.

A Prolonged Period of Stagfl ation Driven by Skyrocketing EnergyCosts and Permanently Higher Tax Rates.

Where, Incidentally, Is the Next Bubble Going to Be If Not inGoods Prices?

2 Historical Credit Crises and What's DifferentNow.

The Derivatives Mess of 1994.

The Russian and LTCM Crisis of 1998.

The Commercial Real Estate and S&L Crisis of 1988 to1992.

How Bad Can Things Get?

3 Valuations and Lessons from the EquityMarkets.

What Drives Bank Valuations?

What Investors Look for in Different Parts of the CreditCycle.

Practical Implications.

4 Liabilities and Capital.

Liabilities and Franchise Value.

Advice from a Flat Curve Environment (2007).

What Works.

5 Managing the Balance Sheet Through DifferentInterest-Rate Cycles.

What Brokers Will Ask You to Do and When You Should Do Them.

Wholesale Leverage.

Deleveraging, Including Loan Sales.

Bond-Portfolio Restructuring.

Pre-Refunding.

Summary 72

6 Investments and the Wholesale Balance Sheet.

The Cost of Liquidity.

The Bond Portfolio and A/L Management.

The Portfolio as an Earnings Driver.

Appropriate Products for Bank Investment Portfolios.

Agency MBS and CMOs.

Ginnie Mae MBS and CMOs.

SBA Floating- and Fixed-Rate Pools.

Callable and Bullet Agency Debentures.

Bank-Qualifi ed Municipals.

Portfolio Structures and Processes That Work.

7 What Banks Should Ask of Their Brokers.

Products and Services Your Broker Should Provide.

Different Brokerage Models.

Questions Your Broker Should Know the Answer to (or Should atLeast Ask).

Summary.

8 Tax Effi ciency: As Important as OperationalEfficiency.

When Munis Make Sense.

When to Put BOLI on the Balance Sheet.

Case Study: Munis Versus BOLI.

BOLI Specifics: The Case for Separate Account Versus GeneralAccount.

Summary.

9 Derivatives as a Way to Manage Balance Sheet,Earnings, and Business Risk.

Macro, One-Way, and Two-Way (or Client) Hedging Examples.

Macro Hedge.

One-Way Hedging.

Two-Way or Client Hedging.

Summary.

A Word on Structured Repo.

Appendix: Caps, Floors, and Swap Valuations.

Afterword.

Appendix.

Performance Measurement Through Peer Analysis andBenchmarking.

Synthetic Duration Matching.

Synthetic Historical Volatility Matching.

SD of Portfolio Returns ÷ SD of Index Return.

Sharpe Ratio, Treynor Measure, Scaled Returns, and ScenarioAnalysis.

About the Author.

Index.